Rate 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Since when do incumbent governors in states won by their party federally without a major scandal and high disapproval ratings start out at a disadvantage for re-election? He's favoured and the race is Lean D.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.
- Wisconsin reflects the national environment, which historically is horrible for Democrats.
- we haven’t seen the impact of a global pandemic on early voter registration (Spring Election).
- Wisconsin legislature may pass bills to make it harder to vote.
- no clue what a post-vaccinated world looks like from a public opinion perspective.

So this race is WAYYY too early to call, but the best I can say is toss-up. Too much in the air.

Major Scott Walker Erasure.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.

Hi Charlie Cook

I was walking in Waukesha county the other day, in a Trump +30 precinct, and I met several Walker-Johnson-Trump-Walker-Vukmir-Trump voters who naturally were planning to vote for the Republican nominee against Evers. But once I told them no incumbent governor in Wisconsin has lost since 1986 they really rethought everything and told me there was simply no way they couldn't support Governor Evers. He'll probably win every county.

Remember though, republican have yet to launch their "BIDEN MIDTERM" ad campagin and if they can nominate somebody untied to Young Kim they'll win every county but elitest Dane and Ozaukee through sheer populism.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Against:
Kleefisch - Lean/Likely R
Gallagher - Lean/Likely R
Kapenga - Lean R
Steil - Tossup
Duffy - Tossup
Priebus - Tilt D
Nicholson - Tilt D

Evers already legalized weed that should help him

Wisconsin has this weird thing called a legislature. It means the governor can't do things like legalize weed by himself.

Wisconsin also has this weird thing where the majority of the population never have a chance of getting a legislative majority.