Rate 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

^

[Left Wing]

Tilt R, Evers will be tough to dislodge but Biden only won WI by less than a point.

[If my soul was made of stone]

He hasn't been able to do much with against the firmly Republican state courts and legislature and the pre-emptive nerfing of his office, and while sometimes powerlessness helps governors, especially when they're the opposing party of a very partisan state, but now in one so tightly divided. I'd consider him the slightest of underdogs at this stage.

[MT Treasurer]

Tilt R, but a lot closer to Lean R than Tossup. I expect the environment combined with the state's R trend and significantly less favorable turnout patterns than in the 2018 D wave to sink him.

[Chips]

GOP probably has a slight advantage.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt R, but a lot closer to Lean R than Tossup. I expect the environment combined with the state's R trend and significantly less favorable turnout patterns than in the 2018 D wave to sink him.

No

[Progressive Pessimist]

Lean R. Wisconsin always reflects the national environment and if it's even slightly Republican (which it probably will be at worst) with Evers being a Governor who barely won last time and has been unable to do much with the GOP legislature, I just don't see him winning.

[walleye26]

Tilt R, but depends who R’s nominate. Mike Gallagher or Steil probably win this race, but somebody like Tiffany probably loses it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R. Wisconsin always reflects the national environment and if it's even slightly Republican (which it probably will be at worst) with Evers being a Governor who barely won last time and has been unable to do much with the GOP legislature, I just don't see him winning.

Nope

[Xing]

Tilt R for now, but I don’t think Evers is more likely to lose than Kelly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt R for now, but I don’t think Evers is more likely to lose than Kelly.

WI is not an R state, Walker is gone, it will reelect Evers we went thru the same thing in 2018/2020

[SnowLabrador]

Lean R flip. I'm not saying he can't win, but the state's getting redder, the GOP has been sabotaging him every step of the way, and it probably won't be nearly as favorable as 2018 for Democrats. It's not looking good for Evers.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Since when do incumbent governors in states won by their party federally without a major scandal and high disapproval ratings start out at a disadvantage for re-election? He's favoured and the race is Lean D.

[Red Wall]

Lean R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R

Yeah right😆😆😆

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Tilt D, but could easily change depending on who runs/the national environment

[GALeftist]

Tilt D for now just because of incumbency, but very close to tossup.

[Red Wall]

Lean R

Yeah right😆😆😆

Midterm with a Democrat sitting on the white house and WI is a highly polarizing swing state that has been decided by less than a point over the past few elections. Sounds exactly the type of race the opposing party wins on a midterm.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R

No D's lost on 2010 due to fact we had 11% unemployment and in 2014/0 the Senate map was red, Biden has an overall approval rating of 52% just like JFK, Clinton and Bush W had, all parties that lost seat in midterms including Trump due to Impeachment had a 44% approval rating.

We will win WI

Yeah right😆😆😆

Midterm with a Democrat sitting on the white house and WI is a highly polarizing swing state that has been decided by less than a point over the past few elections. Sounds exactly the type of race the opposing party wins on a midterm.

[Ron DeSantis enthusiast]

I will say Lean D, his approval rating has never been below 50% in two years and gobernatorial races are less partisan than senatorial races. I can see some Johnson/Evers voters.

[bee33]

Tilt R

I think he can win, but it will be a midterm election with an opposition party incumbent senator at the top of the ticket.

Really though, it's too early, and we don't even have any idea of who the republican nominee will be.

[TheFonz]

Lean R, especially if Kleefisch is the nominee.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R, especially if Kleefisch is the nominee.

Nope

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ron Johnson and Evers are the same age and if Johnson can win 2 terms so can Evers

[Suburbia]

Likely R

Evers is a good man, but he comes across as an older, white male that is low energy

Johnson or Gallagher probably beats him