Romney Veep

[Poundingtherock]

Romney isn't winning.  His favorables with Republicans aren't good enough.

[Poundingtherock]

Some of the conservatives voted for Romney last time because he presented himself as the most conservative candidate in the race.  Some of those conservatives won't vote for him again.

Unlike last time, the conservative vote won't be split as Palin should be able to consolidate the people who are both fiscally and socially conservative.

Instead, the moderate vote will be split this time between Pawlenty, Romney, Daniels, etc.

In effect, the opposite of what happened last time with McCain will occur this time with Palin.

Romney won't be able to win the "big ticket" states in a primary outside of the Northeast (Palin would win California, Illiniois, Texas as she would consolidate the conservative vote while winning enough of the moderate vote while the moderate vote gets split).