Some polling info from the 2001 race (Warner vs Gilmore).
11/1 Times-Dispatch +13
10/30 Mason-Dixon +6
10/30 Roanoke +9
10/25 WaPo +10
10/17 Mason-Dixon +3
The avg. of the polls above - 8.2%. Come election day Warner won by 5%. Like Ive said all along, Kaine needs to be up by around 3-4 come election day or he doesnt stand a chance. Especially w/ the GOP's 72 hour plan in full effect.
You don't think that the expected Warner blowout didn't reduce Democratic turnout a bit?
Mason-Dixon had +6. If there's a Mason-Dixon poll, listen to Mason-Dixon. That is pretty much my motto.
I have never seen an incidence where two polls were far from eachother, one of them is Mason-Dixon, and the other one is right.
Times-Dispatch has never been very good to my knowledge, Washington Post is pretty average, and I've never heard of Roanoke (I assume it's a newspaper?)