KY-03: Yarmuth retiring (user search)
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  KY-03: Yarmuth retiring (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-03: Yarmuth retiring  (Read 2904 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« on: October 12, 2021, 12:50:01 PM »
Perhaps Yarmuth knows his district is getting cracked.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2021, 12:50:56 PM »
Quote from: Del Tachi on October 12, 2021, 12:45:02 PM
Louisville will not get cracked and Democrats will hold this seat.

It is either safe Dem (not cracked) or safe R (cracked).  No in between here.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2021, 01:13:56 PM »
Quote from: politicallefty on October 12, 2021, 01:12:32 PM
I'm more concerned about what this says in terms of his confidence for Democrats to hold the House. He's the Chairman of the Budget Committee.

It can’t mathematically be done.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2021, 10:55:41 AM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on October 12, 2021, 09:31:07 PM
Yeah, unless Republicans want to violate Kentucky law and crack the seat, Democrats should hold this.

In addition, while the seat as is is vulnerable in a Republican wave, Morgan McGarvey is a very strong candidate and should have no problems here, barring perfect recruiting by Republicans (which I doubt they can achieve).

This seat gave Biden 60% of the vote.  It’s not even vulnerable in a wave year as currently drawn.
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