Predict Hillary's CD's in Arkansas
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Poll
Question: Which Arkansas districts will Hillary win?
#1
CD 1
#2
CD 2
#3
CD 3
#4
CD 4
#5
none
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Author Topic: Predict Hillary's CD's in Arkansas  (Read 1248 times)
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excelsus
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« on: June 14, 2014, 05:57:06 AM »
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2014, 11:05:34 AM »
2 and possibly 1, she might come close in 4, but she's definitely not winning 3.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2014, 12:16:58 PM »
Only 2.  1 would be close though. 
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excelsus
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« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2014, 02:19:32 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on June 14, 2014, 11:05:34 AM
2 and possibly 1, she might come close in 4, but she's definitely not winning 3.

Yes, it is amazing how a district containing the state's most populous counties won't go Democratic.

Even William didn't win this district.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2014, 02:09:22 AM »
Wins CD2 by 1-3, loses CD1 & CD4 by 3-5, loses CD3 by about 20.
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excelsus
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« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2014, 06:44:07 AM »
Quote from: Miles on June 15, 2014, 02:09:22 AM
Wins CD2 by 1-3, loses CD1 & CD4 by 3-5, loses CD3 by about 20.

Do you have a clue why AR-03 is so heavily Republican?
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2014, 11:19:36 AM »
Quote from: excelsus on June 15, 2014, 06:44:07 AM
Quote from: Miles on June 15, 2014, 02:09:22 AM
Wins CD2 by 1-3, loses CD1 & CD4 by 3-5, loses CD3 by about 20.

Do you have a clue why AR-03 is so heavily Republican?

prob because it's rural, borders massive HP states and is full of people like AggregateDemand
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #7 on: June 15, 2014, 09:26:50 PM »
Quote from: Kushahontas on June 15, 2014, 11:19:36 AM
Quote from: excelsus on June 15, 2014, 06:44:07 AM
Quote from: Miles on June 15, 2014, 02:09:22 AM
Wins CD2 by 1-3, loses CD1 & CD4 by 3-5, loses CD3 by about 20.

Do you have a clue why AR-03 is so heavily Republican?

prob because it's rural, borders massive HP states and is full of people like AggregateDemand

Wrong.  Try again.  Its the most densely populated part of the state dude. 

It may have something to do with how the most significant barriers in human geography are physical ones.  People living on different sides of mountains tend to be very different from one another, and AR-03 can probably be described as more Midwestern than Southern. 
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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2014, 10:47:01 PM »
Three is full of socons and is very similar/votes very similarly to Oklahoma, especially places like Tulsa/OKC.
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excelsus
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« Reply #9 on: June 17, 2014, 07:18:13 AM »
Quote from: Flo on June 15, 2014, 10:47:01 PM
Three is full of socons and is very similar/votes very similarly to Oklahoma, especially places like Tulsa/OKC.

Your comparison is apposite.
The last time Benton County, AR, voted for the Democratic presidential candidate was 1948.
They almost seem to be as crazy as Tulsa County, OK, which hasn't voted Democrat since 1936.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #10 on: December 21, 2016, 02:20:26 AM »
In the end, Trump won AR by a blowout 61-34-5, and wiped out every congressional district. Haha!
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