CT-05. Not that hard to see Hayes losing in a Republican wave, especially since the new district isn’t too different from the current one in terms of partisanship (this is one of the few blue states where there hasn’t been much additional gerrymandering). I also expect particularly pronounced swings to the GOP (relative to the nation as a whole) in much of rural/small-town New England in 2022.
Huh. Jahana Hayes has a relatively uncommon degree: an Ed.S. (education specialist) -- it's post-master's, but not a doctorate.
Anyway, it will be interesting to see if Republicans can break through the Democratic hold on New England once more. I know about ME-02, but are there other New England seats they could flip?
NH01 if the legislative gerrymander passes will probably be a likelier flip than ME01.
The RI GOP seems to be getting some decent buzz for the 2nd RI seat which is Biden +13 but rumors are that Democrats may split Providence further to even out the state.