Is the 2016 election more similar to 1948 or 1976? (user search)
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  Is the 2016 election more similar to 1948 or 1976? (search mode)
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1976
 
#2
1948
 
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Total Voters: 94

Author Topic: Is the 2016 election more similar to 1948 or 1976?  (Read 5246 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,082
United States
« on: December 01, 2017, 10:36:21 PM »

Neither, how about 1964?

- Trump and Goldwater had little support within their own parties.
- LBJ and Hillary portrayed their opponents as dangerous extremists.
- Both Trump and Goldwater were accused of wanting to start dangerous nuclear wars.
- LBJ's running mate Humphrey is from Minnesota; Hillary's running mate Tim Kaine was born in Minnesota.
- Several newspapers that normally stayed neutral endorsed LBJ and Hillary because of who their opponents were.
- Psychologists said Trump and Goldwater were "unfit" for office.

Only difference, LBJ won in a landslide, Trump narrowly won his election.

There are a few odd similarities. However, these races are actually quite different.

*Johnson had the Great Society (much of which he had already passed) while Clinton borrowed bits of Sanders platform unconvincingly.

*Goldwater was the most right-wing nominee since at least Coolidge. Trump, if anything, was slightly left of several of his preceding Republican candidates in rhetoric.

*Johnson maintained and increased the white working-class Democratic vote outside Jim Crow territory (more than even FDR, in fact). Clinton was possibly the worst Democrat for this subset since McGovern.

*LBJ broke into heavily Republican areas across the board - rural, suburban, and urban. Clinton gained a couple points in a few suburbs but otherwise was wiped out of Republican strongholds.

*LBJ's ads attacked Goldwater's policy positions but never commented on his personality. Clinton almost exclusively attacked Trump's personality and implied that alone disqualified him.

*The public was largely optimistic about the future of the nation in 1964. 2016 was possibly the nation's most pessimistic year since the Depression.

*LBJ managed to carried most of the South despite signing civil rights legislation. By contrast racial issues were a major part of Clinton's defeat and she lost every Southern state.

*Goldwater was a Senator. Trump was a real estate billionaire turned TV star.
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