2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 623814 times)
Alcibiades
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Posts: 3,906
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Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« on: November 03, 2020, 11:57:36 AM »
Could someone get me up to speed about what the signs in FL are?
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,906
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Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 02:11:16 PM »
It’s possible that turnout will beat 2008, meaning it would be the highest since 1968. Will it crack 60%?
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 10:06:39 PM »
So is Ashland County, WI flipping to Trump?
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 10:13:00 PM »
Ohio looks good for Biden - 63% of votes left to report from Clinton counties.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 10:18:24 PM »
We could be looking at an Obama ‘12 map with FL and AZ swapped.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 10:21:50 PM »
Quote from: Socialists are Money Incels on November 03, 2020, 10:19:53 PM
There are still so many mail-in ballots yet to be counted in GA, NC, and PA that I'm not sure what to make of these results so far.

I don’t know what % of PA votes reported were cast on E-day, but if it’s all almost all of them, Trump hasn’t got a big enough lead.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 10:28:54 PM »
GOP leading in TX-23 by 5 with 73% reporting. Disappointing.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 10:29:43 PM »
Quote from: President Pericles on November 03, 2020, 10:28:50 PM

Why are you calling Georgia for Trump? It always has a big counting bias so the Republican lead shrinks late.

NYT needle has it more likely for Biden than NC.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 10:33:34 PM »
Hard to know what to make of WI because how haphazardly it reports votes, although Biden is probably looking stronger than Trump.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 10:36:27 PM »
Senate looking surprisingly good considering Biden is not on course for a landslide.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 10:38:15 PM »
Cooper wins re-election
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 10:38:58 PM »
Quote from: Blairite on November 03, 2020, 10:36:58 PM
Quote from: Alcibiades on November 03, 2020, 10:36:27 PM
Senate looking surprisingly good considering Biden is not on course for a landslide.

NC?

That’s the exception, but early signs in IA and MT encouraging.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 10:41:56 PM »
The ‘Republican MN’ meme didn’t transpire, it seems.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 10:43:33 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, run from it, Republican Iowa arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 10:42:23 PM
Trump won Delaware County Ohio by about 5 points. Does anyone have any insight on whether that's a good or bad sign for Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

Well that’s a Biden +10 swing, so a good sign.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 10:44:21 PM »
CBS move AZ from toss-up to Lean Biden.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 10:45:49 PM »
Biden’s chances in NC have improved a bit on the NYT needle (although Trump still heavy favourite).
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 10:47:53 PM »
Wow - Iowa looking pretty good for Biden. Who’d have thought he’d win it before FL?
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 10:50:25 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 03, 2020, 10:47:38 PM
Douglas County in North WI is 100% counted.

Trump +8.5

2016: Hillary +7.5

Might be missing absentee/early votes though, because turnout is 6.000 votes lower.

Let’s hope. Not good, and surprising considering that Biden is doing well so far in NE MN.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 10:54:11 PM »
Re: Ashland County, WI, Guardian has it has at 100% with Trump win, but NYT at only 61% with same number of votes. Must be outstanding mail-in ballots. Hopefully Biden can still win it.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 10:56:38 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on November 03, 2020, 10:53:39 PM
Quote from: Alcibiades on November 03, 2020, 10:47:53 PM
Wow - Iowa looking pretty good for Biden. Who’d have thought he’d win it before FL?

Hes not winning Iowa man.

Why not? Solid lead so far, I think no particular counting bias (could be wrong on that though), and Biden leaving in several rural Obama-Trump counties.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 10:58:22 PM »
So far Biden has improved significantly in Omaha. NE-02 looking encouraging,
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 11:00:52 PM »
Trump appears to have flipped Mahoning County, OH.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2020, 11:04:29 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 03, 2020, 11:01:25 PM
Quote from: Alcibiades on November 03, 2020, 10:58:22 PM
So far Biden has improved significantly in Omaha. NE-02 looking encouraging,

If you are seeing NE-02 results, can you just type them in, in a post for me to see, please.
Tell me just the percentages for each candidate, and the total percentage counted so far for this district.

I don’t have the district results, but in Douglas County (Omaha), it’s 54-45 for Biden so far, and in Saroy County, 43-45 Bide - in 2016 it was Trump 56-35.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:18 PM »
Biden has very likely won AZ.
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Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,906
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:10 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 03, 2020, 11:07:42 PM
Joe Biden won NH, a close Clinton state.

Biden doing very well. Leading in Coos, which I must admit I thought was gone for Dems.
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