Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?) (user search)
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  Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?)  (Read 19480 times)
Shadows
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« on: March 05, 2016, 11:03:55 AM »

Nebraska looks good so far as per ground reports, heard from many districts, Bernie winning 2/1 in many, some roughly same - It could change as voting has not started in caucus.

So far Nebraska looks positive & could give a win!
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Shadows
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2016, 11:14:08 AM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 11:19:37 AM by Shadows »

Nebraska looks good so far as per ground reports, heard from many districts, Bernie winning 2/1 in many, some roughly same - It could change as voting has not started in caucus.

So far Nebraska looks positive & could give a win!

If voting hasn't started how do you know Bernie is winning 2 to 1? You've developed reputation around here for making up data.

Anyway, I fully expect Bernie to win KS and NE by 20-30+ points. LA goes for Clinton by 40 points.

Based on my ground reports of the number of supporters - I said it could be different. Bernie & hillary supporters have to sit in different rooms or different sides of the room- In many areas they have to bring extra chairs & you clearly get an idea when Bernie supporters are far out-numbering Hillary supporters.

And 30% is completely unrealistic & he didn't even win NH by that margin. I am expecting a 15% win, there are many districts with currently equal supporters.

And don't make this idiotic comment about making numbers, I don't make stuff!
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Shadows
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2016, 11:32:25 AM »

I expect a 50-55% victory for Hillary in LA - Bernie's just given up on it & so has his supporters
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Shadows
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« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2016, 12:05:15 PM »

Clinton is sweeping the absentee ballot in many Nebraska by a wide margin, so the difference even if Bernie wins is likely to be VERY narrow.

I think older people maybe tend to send more absentee ballots! This is good for her
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Shadows
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« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2016, 12:16:50 PM »

Clinton is sweeping the absentee ballot in many Nebraska by a wide margin, so the difference even if Bernie wins is likely to be VERY narrow.

I think older people maybe tend to send more absentee ballots! This is good for her

You can vote absentee in a caucus?

Yup - I am very surprised. Apparently a huge chunk is absentee & Clinton swept those by a huge margin.

Many districts with Big Bernie wins turned out to be much smaller wins with 52-55% odd for Bernie. I don't think this touches 60% for Bernie, if he wins it will be low 50's or mid's. But then only a few districts have voted, so who knows!
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Shadows
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« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2016, 12:36:21 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 12:38:05 PM by Shadows »

Clinton is sweeping the absentee ballot in many Nebraska by a wide margin, so the difference even if Bernie wins is likely to be VERY narrow.

I think older people maybe tend to send more absentee ballots! This is good for her

You can vote absentee in a caucus?

Yup - I am very surprised. Apparently a huge chunk is absentee & Clinton swept those by a huge margin.

Many districts with Big Bernie wins turned out to be much smaller wins with 52-55% odd for Bernie. I don't think this touches 60% for Bernie, if he wins it will be low 50's or mid's. But then only a few districts have voted, so who knows!

You have to have sources! Frankly, I think you're lying given your past. I'll apologize if you have provide sources.

And yes, you can vote absentee in the NE Democratic caucus according to this.

http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/democrats-can-vote-in-nebraska-caucuses-via-absentee-ballot/article_f593d4f5-d0ac-5798-846e-af4b7c5ac0eb.html

My past? I don't lie & don't make statements like that! I clearly said I was writing as per Ground Reports, if you are that dumb to not understand that & make such accusations, then you have a problem - I am not gonna sit down & take this BS
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Shadows
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« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2016, 12:37:49 PM »

Clinton is getting roughly 80-90% off the absentee ballots in many areas, more closer to 90%, it is unreal. We'll not have a huge win for Bernie, if he wins it. Also 100's of absentee ballots, I am surprised
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Shadows
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« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2016, 12:56:07 PM »

A bunch of people are posting Nebraska caucus numbers on Twitter, but of course there’s no way to verify any of this:

https://twitter.com/SexiTahko/status/706169999627423744

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https://twitter.com/maggfad/status/706169670609592320

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https://twitter.com/XteenyNMighty/status/706169435225202689

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50.4% to Bernie is District 4 in Omaha.
511-486 is Beveridge, LD20 (1029 Total Votes), 32 Undecided - Update - Bernie 527, Hillary 503(now) - Bernie was having a 250 plus lead odd but then Hillary swept the absentee ballot

(These are all coming from Sanders supporters)
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Shadows
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« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2016, 12:57:35 PM »

Bunch of Hillaryhacks, unethical people without an intelligence , but most of all shi**y people, don't spam this thread - If you have got nothing to post, take your stupid a** out of here!
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Shadows
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« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2016, 01:00:26 PM »

District 39 Final Results
Delegates split 8-8 (These are not Final Delegates awarded)
Sanders 257
Clinton 264
Absentee totals - Clinton 85, Sanders 14



District 12, Ralston
Sanders - 420
Clinton - 297  /i]
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Shadows
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« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2016, 01:01:21 PM »

Bunch of Hillaryhacks, unethical people without an intelligence , but most of all shi**y people, don't spam this thread - If you have got nothing to post, take your stupid a** out of here!

Yet that is exactly what you are doing....

I am posting District Wise Results, Can you do the same dummy?
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Shadows
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« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2016, 01:03:07 PM »

L5, Nebraska

Sanders - 313
Clinton - 258

Delegates Split -
Sanders - 11
Clinton - 8
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Shadows
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« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2016, 01:03:54 PM »

Shadows, if you don't calm down, I'm going to bring this up for administrative action.  You don't get to escalate conflict and commit personal attacks just because someone criticizes you or your credibility.

Okay, would not respond
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Shadows
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« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2016, 01:05:39 PM »

Shadows, if you don't calm down, I'm going to bring this up for administrative action.  You don't get to escalate conflict and commit personal attacks just because someone criticizes you or your credibility.

Okay, would not respond

Would not respond to administrative action?  To be clear, administrative action means you would no longer be able to respond to anything.

So, are you going to chill out or not?

Would not respond to any more provocation - Putting people on my ignore list - Cheers!
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Shadows
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« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2016, 01:11:35 PM »

Ralston Middle School: 420 Bernie, 227 Hillary
Hooper: Bernie 44, Hillary 22
Metro South Campus: Bernie 313, Hillary 250
Kearney, (Buffalo County): Bernie 429, Hillary 156

(Dude, I told you as per my Ground Reports)

If people want to believe, do, otherwise take it as gossip!
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Shadows
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« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2016, 01:13:49 PM »

I am giving from a mixture of Twitter, FB, Discussion Board, wherever I can find. It is not possible to give every source, if people do not believe, they are welcome not to!
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Shadows
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« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2016, 01:16:10 PM »

District 9 -
Sanders - 872
Clinton - 370

(Kearney results are pre-absentee ballot & could change)
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Shadows
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« Reply #17 on: March 05, 2016, 01:21:29 PM »

Douglas County -
Bernie - 396 vs Hillary 354 (incl Absentee) - Absentee (Hillary 136 vs Bernie 32)
Delegates Split - 10-8

LD 9 Omaha
Sanders - 872, Clinton 360

LD 13 Omaha
Clinton - 532 vs Sanders 310 (Incl Absentee  - Clinton 275 vs Sanders 39)
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Shadows
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« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2016, 01:22:38 PM »

Scraping a bunch of (sketchy, likely biased) results off Twitter, Bernie's over 60% in Nebraska at the moment.

Don't know if biased, but selective reporting for sure - People are more likely to report the good results.

Clinton is doing well in Omaha vs Western NE where Bernie is doing really well, let's see if this tallies up with results!
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Shadows
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« Reply #19 on: March 05, 2016, 01:38:24 PM »

District 8: Bernie 954, Hillary 484
Beals Elementary: Bernie 872, Hillary 356
LD 6: Bernie 639, Hillary 534
LD12 - Hillary wins (Don't have the numbers)

Sanders doing well in the western parts
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Shadows
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« Reply #20 on: March 05, 2016, 01:39:08 PM »

I am giving from a mixture of Twitter, FB, Discussion Board, wherever I can find. It is not possible to give every source, if people do not believe, they are welcome not to!

Thank you for all your hard work, Shadows! 

Appreciated! Obviously I am not getting paid for wasting my time in collecting stuff & posting for other people to see!
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Shadows
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« Reply #21 on: March 05, 2016, 01:39:30 PM »

Scraping a bunch of (sketchy, likely biased) results off Twitter, Bernie's over 60% in Nebraska at the moment.

Don't know if biased, but selective reporting for sure

Selection bias is a type of bias
[/quote

Agreed
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Shadows
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« Reply #22 on: March 05, 2016, 01:46:49 PM »

Scraping a bunch of (sketchy, likely biased) results off Twitter, Bernie's over 60% in Nebraska at the moment.

Don't know if biased, but selective reporting for sure

Selection bias is a type of bias
[/quote

Agreed

District 7 Douglas County
Bernie 344
Clinton 202

Sheridan Country -
Bernie 15
Clinton 10

Cass County -
Bernie 153
Clinton 136

District 12, Ralston
Bernie 420
Clinton 297

Nathan Hale, Omaha
Clinton 512
Sanders 420
(Sanders was leading without absentee ballot)
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Shadows
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« Reply #23 on: March 05, 2016, 01:47:44 PM »

Yup - Selection Bias is a type of Bias (Obv)

District 7 Douglas County
Bernie 344
Clinton 202

Sheridan Country -
Bernie 15
Clinton 10

Cass County -
Bernie 153
Clinton 136

District 12, Ralston
Bernie 420
Clinton 297

Nathan Hale, Omaha
Clinton 512
Sanders 420
(Sanders was leading without absentee ballot)
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Shadows
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« Reply #24 on: March 05, 2016, 02:17:55 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 02:19:56 PM by Shadows »

LD 7, Latino area:
Sanders: 327 Clinton: 125
Absentee Sanders: 17 Clinton: 77
Overall Sanders: 344 Clinton: 202

I'm sure he is definitely below 60% now but most results are coming from Omaha> I am hoping the western areas & rural parts push Sanders close to the 60% mark which maybe difficult due to the absentee ballot situation

Edit - Hillary's ground game has to be very strong if she can get so many absentee ballots! Real kudos to the organization
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