Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)

[Fusionmunster]

Men (42%): 47-43 Sanders
Women (58%): 55-40 Clinton

Not good for Sanders...

Not that it's solid, but I'd rather be ahead in it than behind...

The entrance polls also showed Hillary winning the IA caucus in 2008, the she came in third.

Dont worry Tender, theres probably not a single Hillary supporter here who feels confident about anything tonight.

[Fusionmunster]

here are numbers from 2008 for comparisons
http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/vote-polls/IA.html

All these exit polls/entrance polls are often adjusted afterwards to match the real results.  But I did recall that back in 2008 Obama did lead the entrance polls for Iowa.

CNN just said Clinton led the early entrance poll in 2008.

She did, but you also had a larger number of candidates all of whom shifted en masse to Obama.

Yeah, the reason Edwards and Obama were underpolled as much as they were is because both Biden and Richardson were polling at 7%.

[Fusionmunster]

So what should the margin be if the poll actually holds up?

50-43

O'Malley can't keep all 7% silly, 15% viability rule and all.

Arent you allowed to vote undeclared?

[Fusionmunster]

CBS entrance poll
First time caucus goers for the dems:

59% for Sanders
39% for Clinton