OH-SEN 2024: Brown (D) vs Moreno (R)

[Mr. Smith]

Do we non blu/yella's get to loao if he ends up pulling a Susan Collins, or more accurately, the GOP guy ends up about as good as Sara Gideon?

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

2022 candidate Bernie Moreno is looking very likely to run, he's attacking Brown a lot and taking shots at Dolan for not being pro-Trump enough.
Moreno was one of Trump's favourites last time (and dropped out to support Vance) so he might get Trump and Vance's support. He's also echoing a lot of Vance's rhetoric on stuff like trade and foreign policy.
LaRose is basically guaranteed to run, who'll likely be the frontrunner at first.
It'll be a tough primary but I actually doubt the NRSC gets involved with this one, there are no real bad or even extreme candidates.

[MT Treasurer]

Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) actively considering a run for Senate:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3884124-ohio-secretary-of-state-actively-considering-senate-run-in-2024/

Rather unsurprising, but continues the pattern of OH-SEN 2024 being the one major Senate race (in addition to WV-SEN, assuming Justice goes for it) where Republicans seem to be getting a lot of good news on the recruitment side even at this early stage.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) actively considering a run for Senate:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3884124-ohio-secretary-of-state-actively-considering-senate-run-in-2024/

Not unsurprising, but continues the pattern of OH-SEN 2024 being the one major Senate race (in addition to WV-SEN, assuming Justice goes for it) where Republicans seem to be getting a lot of good news on the recruitment side even at this early stage.

Depends who else runs.  A weak candidate like Davidson, Yost, or Johnson could easily end up whooping his a** in the primary, especially with Dolan also running and potentially being a spoiler.

[SnowLabrador]

Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) actively considering a run for Senate:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3884124-ohio-secretary-of-state-actively-considering-senate-run-in-2024/

Not unsurprising, but continues the pattern of OH-SEN 2024 being the one major Senate race (in addition to WV-SEN, assuming Justice goes for it) where Republicans seem to be getting a lot of good news on the recruitment side even at this early stage.

Depends who else runs.  A weak candidate like Davidson, Yost, or Johnson could easily end up whooping his a** in the primary, especially with Dolan also running and potentially being a spoiler.

Republicans don't need a very strong candidate to win this race. Hell, the only person who would probably blow it is Majewski, but he doesn't seem interested. A shame.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) actively considering a run for Senate:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3884124-ohio-secretary-of-state-actively-considering-senate-run-in-2024/

Not unsurprising, but continues the pattern of OH-SEN 2024 being the one major Senate race (in addition to WV-SEN, assuming Justice goes for it) where Republicans seem to be getting a lot of good news on the recruitment side even at this early stage.

Depends who else runs.  A weak candidate like Davidson, Yost, or Johnson could easily end up whooping his a** in the primary, especially with Dolan also running and potentially being a spoiler.

Republicans don't need a very strong candidate to win this race. Hell, the only person who would probably blow it is Majewski, but he doesn't seem interested. A shame.

LoL do you see the polls in MT, KY and MS we are winning red states Trump is about to get indicted this is gonna hurt the R party, you are still rooting for RS like S019 that's too bad

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) actively considering a run for Senate:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3884124-ohio-secretary-of-state-actively-considering-senate-run-in-2024/

Not unsurprising, but continues the pattern of OH-SEN 2024 being the one major Senate race (in addition to WV-SEN, assuming Justice goes for it) where Republicans seem to be getting a lot of good news on the recruitment side even at this early stage.

Depends who else runs.  A weak candidate like Davidson, Yost, or Johnson could easily end up whooping his a** in the primary, especially with Dolan also running and potentially being a spoiler.

Republicans don't need a very strong candidate to win this race. Hell, the only person who would probably blow it is Majewski, but he doesn't seem interested. A shame.

Just a note MT Treasure predicted Oz winning and he LOST

[Tekken_Guy]

What is the most that Joe Biden can lose Ohio by for Sherrod Brown to win?

[Suburbia]

What is the most that Joe Biden can lose Ohio by for Sherrod Brown to win?

On a really good night with a good economy and a damaged GOP brand, Biden loses by 5 points as some WWC come home to his brand, and Brown wins by 1-2 points this time, but Brown loses by 7 points this time...

Brown should have been Obama's VP in 2008........he'd hold down IA/OH for Dems while picking a minority VP to attract GA/NC/TX in 2016...

[Tekken_Guy]

What is the most that Joe Biden can lose Ohio by for Sherrod Brown to win?

On a really good night with a good economy and a damaged GOP brand, Biden loses by 5 points as some WWC come home to his brand, and Brown wins by 1-2 points this time, but Brown loses by 7 points this time...

Brown should have been Obama's VP in 2008........he'd hold down IA/OH for Dems while picking a minority VP to attract GA/NC/TX in 2016...

Why did you have to add that last part? Are you saying that best-case scenario is impossible?

[Suburbia]

What is the most that Joe Biden can lose Ohio by for Sherrod Brown to win?

On a really good night with a good economy and a damaged GOP brand, Biden loses by 5 points as some WWC come home to his brand, and Brown wins by 1-2 points this time, but Brown loses by 7 points this time...

Brown should have been Obama's VP in 2008........he'd hold down IA/OH for Dems while picking a minority VP to attract GA/NC/TX in 2016...

Why did you have to add that last part? Are you saying that best-case scenario is impossible?

I don't see Brown winning OH in 2024 right now unless the environment is really good for him, if it was next door PA, yes.

Brown, Manchin and Tester are the most likely to lose in 2024, sadly. Manchin can go, but Tester and Brown are good senators.

[ꙮ]

If the primary last time is anything to go by, the farther right portions of the Ohio Republican Party despise Dolan. To the point where he may draw a conservative third party challenger if he wins. If not, he’d be decently favored in the general though, a bit moreso than a generic Republican would be at this point. We’re still 20 months out, but Brown starts as at least a slight underdog no matter who his opponent is.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's wave insurance anyways but Biden is at 50/49 Biden as the inc can have Coattails that unlike in a Midterm D's are best off, DeWine isn't in the ballot this time winning by 25, just think of it as wave insurance, Kunce can win an upset too Abortion is on the ballot MO, unlike MT and WV, whereas FL, AZ and MO, TX, NC are blk and brown population

Beshear and Presley are winning in Red states and Wilson doesn't have to win outright and make the runoff, Laura Kelly won in 22 just remember that as 303 map isn't inevitable, wave insurance

MO, AZ with Gallego, OH and MT are out ticket to a Filibuster proof Trifecta then it's FL, TX and WV in that order

As I keep saying there are VBM its not same day voting we have to wait til all the VBM ballots are just like we will have to in 23 before we call an Eday but users think it's gonna be a quick R win like they always do

[2016]

BREAKING NEWS
Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose has officially filled Paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for Senate against Senator Sherrod Brown.

So, it looks like Senate Republicans have landed their first big Recruit for the 2024 Senate Elections.

https://twitter.com/POTUS41Bush/status/1636423718283952134

Very big Deal! LaRose is clearly the strongest Candidate Republicans can put forward.

[Tekken_Guy]

BREAKING NEWS
Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose has officially filled Paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for Senate against Senator Sherrod Brown.

So, it looks like Senate Republicans have landed their first big Recruit for the 2024 Senate Elections.

https://twitter.com/POTUS41Bush/status/1636423718283952134

Very big Deal! LaRose is clearly the strongest Candidate Republicans can put forward.

That is a fake filing by a parody account.

[Utah Neolib]

BREAKING NEWS
Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose has officially filled Paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for Senate against Senator Sherrod Brown.

So, it looks like Senate Republicans have landed their first big Recruit for the 2024 Senate Elections.

https://twitter.com/POTUS41Bush/status/1636423718283952134
Very big Deal! LaRose is clearly the strongest Candidate Republicans can put forward.

That is a fake filing by a parody account.

@POTUS41Bush is a very real account!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brown has a better shot than Ryan does by the very nature DeWine whom won by 25 isn't directly on the ballot RS are naturally advantaged as it appears in FL and TX because the blk candidate running arent Barnes, Warnock, Beasley and Demings quality, we have a better shot in MO, because of KS, OH and MT with a probable retirement of course from Manchin to keep 51 votes we will see how KY and MS and NC G goes Presley is down by 7 but VBM have been good to us outside of FL and TX Beshear was behind last time and came back on VBM so can Presley, and it's slow not quick, users forget Beshear was like Presley was now he came back on strength of blk vote he was behind late he didn't automation win


It's also a Prez Eday not Midterm where Biden doesn't have to go everywhere his name is  back on ballot he doesn't have to visit OH he isn't all that popular Brown would he best to campaign himself there with Biden name RS forget unlike in 22 Biden name is back on the ballot

This is why Brown and Tester ajd Kunce are confident outside of FL, TX and WV we have AZ, OH, MT and MO which will get us 51 and we woj KS 22 it's an upset MO but Abortion rights is on the ballot like in KS 22 in 24 but Jay Ashcroft like Gianforte and Capito will have some coattails hut not like DeWine, Abbott and DeSantis because this is a Prez Eday not Midterm

MO and KS were close in 2006/2008/12/16/20/22 and Sharice David's is planning on run for Gov MO and KS have replaced IA as a swing state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brown is favorite

[SnowLabrador]

Conventional wisdom seems to be that Moreno is a pretty weak candidate. But quite frankly, even a pretty weak candidate should be able to beat Brown this time. Trump is going to win Ohio by double digits, and Brown won't be able to get enough split tickets. A shame, too - he's a wonderful Senator, but if Ohio is going to throw him out for this clown, they don't deserve him.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Trump already is semi-endorsing Moreno lol. Vance is also close to him, and he's Max Miller's father-in-law. He's also a self-funder, I reckon he's gonna be the nominee.

[Tekken_Guy]

Trump already is semi-endorsing Moreno lol. Vance is also close to him, and he's Max Miller's father-in-law. He's also a self-funder, I reckon he's gonna be the nominee.

What about LaRose?

Conventional wisdom seems to be that Moreno is a pretty weak candidate. But quite frankly, even a pretty weak candidate should be able to beat Brown this time. Trump is going to win Ohio by double digits, and Brown won't be able to get enough split tickets. A shame, too - he's a wonderful Senator, but if Ohio is going to throw him out for this clown, they don't deserve him.

I don’t think Trump will be able to clear double digits in OH outside a decisive win.

[2016]

Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose attended DeSantis Event in Ohio yesterday. Read into that what you will.

If LaRose runs he will crush Moreno and Matt Dolan and NRSC Chair Steve Daines will most likely endorse LaRose.

[SnowLabrador]

Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose attended DeSantis Event in Ohio yesterday. Read into that what you will.

If LaRose runs he will crush Moreno and Matt Dolan and NRSC Chair Steve Daines will most likely endorse LaRose.

The primary will be interesting; it'll be a proxy war between Trump and Daines. But whichever of Moreno, Dolan, or LaRose wins the primary will defeat Brown. It's that simple.

[2016]

Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose attended DeSantis Event in Ohio yesterday. Read into that what you will.

If LaRose runs he will crush Moreno and Matt Dolan and NRSC Chair Steve Daines will most likely endorse LaRose.

The primary will be interesting; it'll be a proxy war between Trump and Daines. But whichever of Moreno, Dolan, or LaRose wins the primary will defeat Brown. It's that simple.

I disagree with you that Brown is a GONER. Sure, against LaRose it would be very tough but against Dolan and particularly Moreno Brown would have a shot I think.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose attended DeSantis Event in Ohio yesterday. Read into that what you will.

If LaRose runs he will crush Moreno and Matt Dolan and NRSC Chair Steve Daines will most likely endorse LaRose.

The primary will be interesting; it'll be a proxy war between Trump and Daines. But whichever of Moreno, Dolan, or LaRose wins the primary will defeat Brown. It's that simple.

Have you learned nothing yet about 20/22 v 24 we are gonna improve on our margins we lost seats in the H in 20/22 and 24 we are gonna gain seats Daines RSCC chairman can't go into a swing state other than MT and WV and attack minority like Rick Scott can that's why Casey is overperforming the RS should of stuck with Scott

Peters can go into OH, MO and TX and get minority that's why held onto the 303 wall but lost red wall states in 22

If we won WI by 11 and Leading in PA by 7 that means we are overperforming in blue states Kelly lost metro suburbs by 10 which means RS are losing Suburbs again

LoL you said Baldwin was gonna lose guess what Baldwin beat Tommy Thompson in 12 and Brown beat Renacci and Hawley only won by 6 but MO S is Oct 24 surprise not now