Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +5 in PA, +9 in WI (user search)
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  Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +5 in PA, +9 in WI (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +5 in PA, +9 in WI  (Read 2538 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: October 26, 2020, 03:16:31 PM »

WI is not really competitive at this point. Trump should just focus his energy in PA+FL+AZ; not sure why he was in NH+ME yesterday, two states that won't end up close at all.

His campaign is in disarray, he is also apparently going to Omaha sometime this week. Running around like a chicken with its head cut off.

It's probably too late for him in Omaha but the lack of polling means we can be a little less certain about that than in MI/MN/WI. In terms of the heaviest plausible lifts, he'll need either NE-02 or AZ in addition to PA.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2020, 03:30:04 PM »

October 20-26
Changes with October 13-19

PA
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w5_10_26_2020.pdf

655 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Some other candidate 3% (n/c)
Not sure 2% (-2)

Five-way ballot:

Biden 51% (+2)
Trump 44% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Some other candidate 1% (-1)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
West 0% (-1)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)

WI
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_wisconsin_state_poll_w5_10_26_2020.pdf

664 likely voters
MoE: 4.3%

Biden 53% (+2)
Trump 44% (+1)
Some other candidate 2% (-1)
Not sure 2% (-1)

Five-way ballot:

Biden 53% (+2)
Trump 44% (-1)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (+1)
Some other candidate 1% (-1)
West 0% (-1)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
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