PA-Monmouth: Biden+13%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

July 9-13, 2020
MoE: 4.9%
401 registered/likely voters

RV model:
Biden 53%
Trump 40%
Other 3%
Undecided 4%

High turnout LV model:
Biden 52%
Trump 42%
Other 3%
Undecided 3%

Low turnout LV model:
Biden 51%
Trump 44%
Other 2%
Undecided 3%

I've no problem with different models, but I wish they'd put out figures for which they think is more likely rather than hedging their bets.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

they may not be saying this publicly, but the trump campaign will need to pull out of PA and MI to focus on the absolute must win states of WI, FL, AZ , NC and GA. Trying to hold on to PA and MI is futile.

No. That's leaving too much to the other states. MI is significantly further gone than PA (maybe even further than MN and NH) according to public polling. PA is still a very strong lean D and therefore a potential tipping point state.