MI-SEN 2024 Megathread - Meijer out

[SnowLabrador]

Any idea on if she'd be a strong candidate? Of course, campaigns matter too, but I think this one starts at Lean D.

[SnowLabrador]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Bill Huizenga
Lisa McClain
Peter Meijer

One of those 3 would be decent.

I'm not too sure about McClain, but I agree that Meijer would be one of the GOP's strongest possible candidates here. Needless to say, though, it's doubtful whether he could win the primary.

[SnowLabrador]

Gilchrist OUT:
https://twitter.com/garlin/status/1629935262326222851

Looks like if Slotkin wants it, it's hers. Like I said earlier today, the strongest possible Republican nominee is probably someone like Peter Meijer, but as far as I know he isn't interested. And again, he'd have a hard time winning a primary.

[SnowLabrador]

Im gonna go ahead and say congratulations to senator-elect Slotkin.

Because let's face it no potential Republican is strong enough to flip this seat and every other big name Democrat has declined.

If Trump wins Michigan, he will probably pull the Republican over the line. Still, I think Slotkin is favored for now.

[SnowLabrador]

People are really underestimating the GOP in this race. I see Michigan as no better than a tossup for Democrats at the presidential level, and depending on the Republican candidate, they may be able to outrun the top of the ticket. Tossup, since it seems like presidential years are better for Republicans now than midterms.

[SnowLabrador]

Tudor Dixon will not run for this seat.

[SnowLabrador]

I don't think Tuttle would be a very strong candidate. This is also, like, the 7th-most vulnerable D-held seat at least, so I don't see much money being spent on this race by the GOP against more attractive targets.

[SnowLabrador]

If it's Slotkin vs random Wall Street exec from New York, Republicans should just write this one off.

Yeah. Slotkin's not as progressive as some people might like, but she's not Sinema, and she's proven that she can appeal to swing voters. I'm okay with her being our nominee.

[SnowLabrador]

Tossup. This seat is more likely to flip than Nevada if Craig is the nominee.

[SnowLabrador]

Craig definitely makes this a tossup. It'll track closely with the presidential race, with Craig maybe doing a point or two better than Trump. We'll see.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1696888276446028160

I don't think Rogers will be favored against Slotkin, but anyone who's been paying attention knows that virtually all GOP politicians oppose abortion rights. I don't see this hurting his chances in a general election, and certainly not in a primary.

[SnowLabrador]

Craig needs to hurry up before Rogers gains momentum

If I were Slotkin, I would rather face Rogers.

[SnowLabrador]

I'm not saying the Democrats have this in the bag (in fact, I think it's a tossup), but I fail to see how Mike Rogers is significantly better than Generic R here.

[SnowLabrador]

The fact that Slotkin will be the nominee is a tragedy. She is awful. Almost any other democratic politician in the state would have been better.

I agree. I wouldn’t be shocked if she actually blows the general election, allowing the GOP to win a U.S. Senate seat from Michigan for the first time since 1994. Think about that.

[SnowLabrador]

Slotkin vs. Craig is a tossup.

[SnowLabrador]

Honestly, Craig seems like the type of candidate who is strong on paper, but doesn't know how to run a campaign effectively. Campaigns still matter, even if not as much as they used to.

[SnowLabrador]

Why would he drop out? He had a good chance!

[SnowLabrador]

He's not winning the primary.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1793992231247819064

What are the odds he gets taken off the ballot?