MI-SEN 2024 Megathread - Meijer out

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Priority number one is now to not run Buttigieg.

TLAIB 2024

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Tuttle is not great, but the alternative here isn't some stellar candidate, it's someone like Tudor Dixon.

Yeah. Meijer would be a great GE candidate, but unfortunately he'd never make it through the primary.

By no means a Meijer fan but this seems to assume too much; he has a clear lane to a chunk of the vote and could come through a divided field. He’s not Cheney or Kinzinger.

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Not the worst pick, but the residency thing could be fodder.

At least he is doing this rather than running for president like he flirted with earlier this year.

It really depends on what the residency situation actually is. My grandparents have a home in Florida and are registered to vote there, but split time up North and also visit for holidays in between. It would probably be a blunder in the Midwest for attacking someone for living in Florida part of the year, but if he's permanently relocated then that would obviously be potent in proportion to the relocation.

I'm just glad to see the Republican Party is still capable of recruiting legislators to run for Senate after 2022.

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I'm not saying the Democrats have this in the bag (in fact, I think it's a tossup), but I fail to see how Mike Rogers is significantly better than Generic R here.

I don't think he's inherently good, but the launch video is a good first pitch. A lot of the "candidate experience" factor has less to do with voters explicitly wanting someone who has been in office than it does to do with experienced candidates generally being better at the day-to-day campaign.

[Senator Incitatus]

Rogers uses stock footage of Estonian families in announcement video

1. Who cares?
2. This article is such shoddy reporting that we should consider banning this site from the forum. There's no evidence provided of the claim that this family is Estonian, just that the company which owns the footage (which also owns footage of people who are clearly not Estonian or even in the Baltics) is based in Estonia. Their hundreds of pages of clips appear to span the globe, but mostly the United States and Western Europe. InfoWars tier conjecture.

[Senator Incitatus]

I'd argue that Stabenow retiring makes this a tougher pickup for Republicans than if she ran for reelection.

Incumbency is still a net advantage vs an open seat. I'm trying to think of a single senate race that an elected incumbent lost in the general, that would have been better for the incumbent party with an open seat. Even though people like Mark Kirk and Doug Jones got destroyed, they still did better compared to an open seat situation. I had to go back to 2008 to find Ted Stevens.

Off the top of my head, Bill Roth and Terry Sanford are good precedent. Their age and health issues overrode any incumbency advantage they had. Not sure the same would apply to Stabenow.

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“Why do people hate this completely generic and mainstream politician?,” he asked, oblivious of the way most people feel about politicians.

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Wow! Joe O’Dea could certainly make Colorado competitive. This result is a big win for Republicans.

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Truly amazing incompetence.

It's not incompetence. Nobody wants to work with McConnell and competent people generally aren't interested in public office to begin with.