State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread  (Read 177546 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1000 on: January 16, 2018, 08:12:50 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2018, 08:09:36 PM
SC House Seat #99 - Special Election
9/11 precincts reporting

Cindy Boatwright (DEM)  687   51.97%
Nancy Mace (REP) 634   47.96%
Write-In  1     .08%
Total 1,322

Link please?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1001 on: January 16, 2018, 08:14:14 PM »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on January 16, 2018, 08:12:43 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2018, 08:09:36 PM
SC House Seat #99 - Special Election
9/11 precincts reporting

Cindy Boatwright (DEM)  687   51.97%
Nancy Mace (REP) 634   47.96%
Write-In  1     .08%
Total 1,322
This is only from Charleston County, which is the more liberal part of the district. The conservative part, Berkley County has 0% in and has 18 precincts.

Wrong. Trump won the Charleston county of HD-99 more than the Berkeley part. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1frfN-xEqzSd4X6nih2tSxCgqxZBRoHgHbCrGdDWCroM/edit#gid=1303007036
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1002 on: January 16, 2018, 08:16:35 PM »
Can someone give a real results link please?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1003 on: January 16, 2018, 08:17:19 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 16, 2018, 08:16:35 PM
Can someone give a real results link please?

Here are the Charleston county results: https://www.charlestoncounty.org/departments/bevr/files/10011618_EL45.htm

I don't know about Berkeley.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1004 on: January 16, 2018, 08:18:30 PM »


From dkos for the lazy. The Charleston County portion of this district voted to the right of the Berkley County portion in 2016.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1005 on: January 16, 2018, 08:20:00 PM »

thanks.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1006 on: January 16, 2018, 08:31:31 PM »
Welp, looks like the R declared victory: https://twitter.com/MaryCaitlinByrd/status/953438776302465026

on to Wisconsin and Iowa.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1007 on: January 16, 2018, 08:33:33 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2018, 08:37:28 PM by LimoLiberal »

https://twitter.com/MaryCaitlinByrd/status/953439409269104641

They're claiming Mace won 55-45, a margin underperformance of 13 points compared to Trump. Boatwright had 1/6 the money of her, too.

Edit: Looks like there was a bad count in Charleston Mount Pleasant 26 precinct, where Boatwright won 134-0.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1008 on: January 16, 2018, 08:35:39 PM »
Impossible to know until we see what the numbers in Berkley are.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1009 on: January 16, 2018, 08:40:13 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on January 16, 2018, 08:33:33 PM

https://twitter.com/MaryCaitlinByrd/status/953439409269104641

They're claiming Mace won 55-45, a margin underperformance of 13 points compared to Trump. Boatwright had 1/6 the money of her, too.

Edit: Looks like there was a bad count in Charleston Mount Pleasant 26 precinct, where Boatwright won 134-0.

Where on earth are you getting that? I have not seen disaggregated precinct data anywhere.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1010 on: January 16, 2018, 08:44:52 PM »
https://www.berkeleycountysc.gov/drupal/sites/default/files/voterreg/House%2099%20General%20Unofficial%20Results.pdf

Berkley County results:

Cindy Boatwright (DEM) 900 38.48
Nancy Mace (REP) 1,432 61.22

Total 2,339

Strange results out of Berkley.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1011 on: January 16, 2018, 08:46:08 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2018, 08:40:13 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on January 16, 2018, 08:33:33 PM

https://twitter.com/MaryCaitlinByrd/status/953439409269104641

They're claiming Mace won 55-45, a margin underperformance of 13 points compared to Trump. Boatwright had 1/6 the money of her, too.

Edit: Looks like there was a bad count in Charleston Mount Pleasant 26 precinct, where Boatwright won 134-0.

Where on earth are you getting that? I have not seen disaggregated precinct data anywhere.

Here are Charleston county precincts:

https://www.charlestoncounty.org/departments/bevr/files/10011618_EL30.htm

Mace (R) winning Berkeley county 61-38

https://www.berkeleycountysc.gov/drupal/sites/default/files/voterreg/House%2099%20General%20Unofficial%20Results.pdf

Mace is OUTPERFORMING Trump in Berkeley while underperforming him by 28 points in Charleston!

Bizarre!
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kph14
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« Reply #1012 on: January 16, 2018, 08:48:57 PM »
Maybe some home county effects? That wouldn’t be too unusual with a 12% turnout
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1013 on: January 16, 2018, 08:50:25 PM »
These are very unusual results. Still going to be a Democratic swing, but nothing groundbreaking. Definitely a bizarre turn after seeing the Charleston results.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1014 on: January 16, 2018, 08:50:42 PM »
Quote from: kph14 on January 16, 2018, 08:48:57 PM
Maybe some home county effects? That wouldn’t be too unusual with a 12% turnout

Yep, quick research shows she's from (and lives in) Berkeley county.

"September 18, 2017 – Daniel Island, S.C. – Today, Daniel Island mother and businesswoman, Nancy Mace, announced her candidacy for the South Carolina State House (District 99). Mace has been a resident of Daniel Island for more than five years. Prior to that she was raised in Berkeley County, in the city of Goose Creek."

http://nancymace.org/nancy-mace-news-release-bio/
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1015 on: January 16, 2018, 08:54:35 PM »
People need to keep in mind that these are crazy uber low turnout special elections, and frankly, it is quite arguably that this is an entirely different electorate than 2016.
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kph14
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« Reply #1016 on: January 16, 2018, 08:54:54 PM »
Trump won the Bekerly portion by 22, Mace is leading by 23... so not a huge overperformance
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1017 on: January 16, 2018, 08:58:29 PM »
Here's the other SC race. No Dem filed:

SUMMARY REPORT        Greenville County SC             Unofficial Results
Run Date:01/16/18     SC House Dist 28 Spec. Elect.
RUN TIME:08:27 PM     January 16, 2018

                                                       VOTES PERCENT

           PRECINCTS COUNTED (OF 21) .  .  .  .  .        19   90.48
           REGISTERED VOTERS - TOTAL .  .  .  .  .    28,832
           BALLOTS CAST - TOTAL.  .  .  .  .  .  .       346
           VOTER TURNOUT - TOTAL  .  .  .  .  .  .              1.20

          State House of Representatives District
          Vote for One  1
           Ashley Trantham  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .       333   97.37
           WRITE-IN.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .         9    2.63

http://www.greenvillecounty.org/VoterRegistration/results/el45.htm
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1018 on: January 16, 2018, 09:10:56 PM »
Wisconsin Senate 10 Pages:

Polk County: http://www2.co.polk.wi.us/coclerk/election/FederalStateResults.pdf

Burnett County: http://www.burnettcounty.com/index.aspx?NID=1075

St Croix County: https://www.sccwi.gov/DocumentCenter/View/1962

Dunn County: http://www.co.dunn.wi.us/vertical/Sites/%7BD750D8EC-F485-41AF-8057-2CE69E2B175A%7D/uploads/1TABULAR_STATEMENT_OF_VOTES_CAST_1-16-2018.pdf

Not seeing anything for Pierce County
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1019 on: January 16, 2018, 09:13:44 PM »
Polk County so far:

Adam Jarchow (R) received 40
Patty Schachtner (D) received 10
Brian J. Corriea received 0
SCATTERING received 0
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1020 on: January 16, 2018, 09:15:32 PM »
Town of Menomonie is reporting: 263 to 135 for Schachtner.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1021 on: January 16, 2018, 09:15:35 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on January 16, 2018, 09:13:44 PM
Polk County so far:

Adam Jarchow (R) received 40
Patty Schachtner (D) received 10
Brian J. Corriea received 0
SCATTERING received 0

Enough info in to project Jarchow as the winner right now, and by a decent margin.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1022 on: January 16, 2018, 09:16:08 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 16, 2018, 09:15:35 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on January 16, 2018, 09:13:44 PM
Polk County so far:

Adam Jarchow (R) received 40
Patty Schachtner (D) received 10
Brian J. Corriea received 0
SCATTERING received 0

Enough info in to project Jarchow as the winner right now, and by a decent margin.
lol
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1023 on: January 16, 2018, 09:18:19 PM »
Dunn County so far: 135 Jarchow 263 Schachtner 5 Corriea

Total:

Schachtner 273
Jarchow 175
Corriea 5
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1024 on: January 16, 2018, 09:18:57 PM »
Quote from: PNM on January 16, 2018, 09:18:07 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on January 16, 2018, 09:15:32 PM
Town of Menomonie is reporting: 263 to 135 for Schachtner.
Was that a Clinton town?
Trump won the Town of Menomonie 911 to 730. Looking like a big swing toward the Democrat.
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