Rasmussen: Cantwell(D) above 50% against McGavick(R)

[Eraserhead]

New Poll: Washington Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-09-07

Summary: D: 52%, R: 35%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Hmm didn't Ras. usually have this one really close? I guess we don't have to spend a huge amount of time worrying about this one any more although its still worth keeping an eye on.

[Eraserhead]

No, the last poll he took had Cantwell ahead by 11 pts, it was SV that had it unusally close.

Yeah but I'm pretty sure Ras. had it close for a while.

[Eraserhead]

If you take the average of Cantwell's polls and Corker's polls it equals 5-6 pts recently.

I'm pretty sure thats not true.

[Eraserhead]

The Zogby polls were conducted on Aug 28. And it had Cantwell up by 7 or 8 pts. No, this isn't a Zogby poll but I put stock in the Zogby polls better than Rasmussen who has been all over the map all year long with its irregular polling.

Zogby is terrible. Rasmussen is pretty good. Just look at the polling during the 2004 elections.

[Eraserhead]

Because she is very pro-war and WA the war isn't that popular. In WA Bush approvals are negative. That's why I think it will be very close at the end. Also, there are independents on the ticket, and just like Ralph Nader syphened votes away from Kerry and Gore, they are going to take away some support from her, and it will end up being a close race.

Whats the alternative though? McGavick is even more pro war. Now if McGavick was anti-war we would have a really interesting campaign on our hands.