IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head (user search)
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  IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head (search mode)
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head  (Read 9662 times)
TheLaRocca
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« on: October 24, 2020, 12:44:34 PM »


I'm guessing they'll herd to whatever the consensus is on election day.
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TheLaRocca
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Posts: 499
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2020, 01:06:04 PM »


I'm guessing they'll herd to whatever the consensus is on election day.

Made this prediction earlier in the week, totally agree.

they all herd to around Biden by 7 or something. These people do NOT want to be wrong.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2020, 07:49:35 PM »

Is there a reason IDB/TIPP has been consistently weaker for Biden?

They had

Trump +1 last time
Obama +1

there not a bad pollster...just 2-3% more favorable to Democrats...there like ABC (3% more favorable to the Democrats).

Average them and dornsfire (more pro-Biden) and that's the national margin. But I find it interesting basically all the national polls have Biden at 51 to 52%. Its gonna herd even more.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 11:47:39 AM »

They will be 3% more favorable to the GOP like in 2012 (+1 Obama) and 2016 (+1 Trump)
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TheLaRocca
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Posts: 499
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 10:00:37 AM »

LMAO. I guess we should not be surprised at this point given they had Trump winning the PV in 2016.

They had Obama +1 over Romney. Ended up +4.

Will be about 4-5 more favorable to the GOP I’m guessing
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TheLaRocca
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Posts: 499
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 11:56:19 AM »

They were 4% to the right of the national PCI last time.

Take it as you will.
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