This is going to be close close close in the end.
Not when the gold standard implies it'll be a fairly comfortable mid-single digit win for Shapiro.
Sure, one would hope it would be a larger win, but I personally always expected this to come down to being within ten points at most this year. This poll suggests about what I've always expected in the end.
It's not even Labor Day.
Sure, but the same people who are disregarding polls because they underestimate Republicans usually put only Selzer and Trafalgar on a pedestal (I'm not necessarily accusing you of being this) so by that standard this is devastating for both statewide Republicans in Pennsylvania and lends credence to what other polls and fundamentals have suggested about these races and others. While it is indeed still early, it's looking like something very significant has to change in these races for Mastriano or Oz to have any ability to close the gap enough.
Exactly, they need swing voters and given how Oz has completely 360'd on positions and Mastriano is making no effort to appeal to swing voters and is silent on TV it's going to be very hard to turn things around.
