Will the election be officially called before 11PM EST? (user search)
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  Will the election be officially called before 11PM EST? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: See above
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: Will the election be officially called before 11PM EST?  (Read 2580 times)
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« on: October 23, 2016, 02:49:40 PM »

Probably not.  Virginia gets called late and thats in the firewall, and NC/FL/OH/IA/NV/CO are probably going to take a while to call. PA alone won't be enough, otherwise 2012 would have been called at 11 with CA. (it was called at 11:15 with Ohio)
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2016, 04:20:50 PM »

No, but at 11 PM EST. I've already stated this but anybody who thinks that it will be called before the west coast closing hasn't thought it out or thinks (delusionally) that there will be a 35+ state landslide for Clinton.

It doesn't have to be a landslide.

CNN projected the 2012 race at 11:18 PM (when they projected Ohio). And that race was closer than this one, so it's not such a stretch to believe that it could be called 18 minutes sooner.

What time did FOX call it?  Because I remember that the call of Ohio didn't quite get Obama to 270 on FOX.

It got him to 274 on MSNBC, I remember that. If it didnt get there on Fox or another network, it's probably because waited to call Iowa
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2016, 05:02:56 PM »

Probably not.  Virginia gets called late and thats in the firewall, and NC/FL/OH/IA/NV/CO are probably going to take a while to call. PA alone won't be enough, otherwise 2012 would have been called at 11 with CA. (it was called at 11:15 with Ohio)

I think FL and CO, at least, will definitely be called before California closes. Florida is usually pretty quick to count.
...what? It was the last state to be called in 2012 and, notoriously, in 2000. In my memory, it has not once been called before the overall race, though I say that with the caveat that my memory of 2004 is pretty bad.
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