Special Election megathread (5/21: CA-20)
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Author Topic: Special Election megathread (5/21: CA-20)  (Read 140648 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #2025 on: August 23, 2022, 10:32:01 PM »
Quote from: walleye26 on August 23, 2022, 10:30:15 PM
I keep thinking we have to be close to all counted…NE-1 was 61K for GOP and 54K for Dem and MN-1 was 60K GOP and 55K Dem…We have passed those numbers here

It’s probably close to being mostly all reported but a call may be delayed until all absentees are counted.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2026 on: August 23, 2022, 10:32:14 PM »

That was the last major batch?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2027 on: August 23, 2022, 10:33:05 PM »
VICTORY!!!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2028 on: August 23, 2022, 10:33:13 PM »

another good result for Ryan, Delgado and Faso were tied here in 2018
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2029 on: August 23, 2022, 10:33:36 PM »
Pro-choice America sends another message tonight. Wow!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2030 on: August 23, 2022, 10:33:40 PM »
Oh my God. Wow.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2031 on: August 23, 2022, 10:33:45 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 23, 2022, 10:33:05 PM
VICTORY!!!



WOW!

So much for Titanium Strong candidate Molinaro!!!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #2032 on: August 23, 2022, 10:34:06 PM »
RYAN: 65,486 (51.29%)
MOLINARO: 62,201 (48.71%)

SEMPOLINSKI: 35,892 (52.57%)
DELLA PIA: 32, 386 (47.43%)
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #2033 on: August 23, 2022, 10:34:27 PM »
We might be in recount territory. Upstate New York's (evidently very bad) courts might get involved. It's not impossible. But Molinaro is not getting a clear win.

This is going to be the most in-party-friendly midterm in a generation.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2034 on: August 23, 2022, 10:34:35 PM »
Red wave is DOA
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2035 on: August 23, 2022, 10:34:47 PM »
It's happening.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2036 on: August 23, 2022, 10:35:01 PM »
Same old story here as in MN-01 and NE-01.

GOP did a bit better on the margins in their areas but the turnout in blue areas was just simply much better.
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Person Man
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« Reply #2037 on: August 23, 2022, 10:35:09 PM »
« Edited: August 23, 2022, 10:38:32 PM by Person Man »
LOL Goodbye surprise voters with mullets from the trailer park and hello surprise voters with pink hair from the dorms.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2038 on: August 23, 2022, 10:35:55 PM »
Quote from: Actual Necromancer Joe Manchin on August 23, 2022, 10:34:27 PM
We might be in recount territory. Upstate New York's (evidently very bad) courts might get involved. It's not impossible. But Molinaro is not getting a clear win.

This is going to be the most in-party-friendly midterm in a generation.

What's the recount territory? We're at Ryan +2.6 right now and given what is now out with remaining E-day but also absentees, I don't see it falling below Ryan+1
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Holmes
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« Reply #2039 on: August 23, 2022, 10:36:22 PM »
This is big.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #2040 on: August 23, 2022, 10:36:44 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 23, 2022, 10:35:55 PM
Quote from: Actual Necromancer Joe Manchin on August 23, 2022, 10:34:27 PM
We might be in recount territory. Upstate New York's (evidently very bad) courts might get involved. It's not impossible. But Molinaro is not getting a clear win.

This is going to be the most in-party-friendly midterm in a generation.

What's the recount territory? We're at Ryan +2.6 right now and given what is now out with remaining E-day but also absentees, I don't see it falling below Ryan+1

The recount territory is in the depressed, pessimistic part of my brain that's always managing expectations.
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WD
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« Reply #2041 on: August 23, 2022, 10:36:58 PM »
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GALeftist
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« Reply #2042 on: August 23, 2022, 10:37:01 PM »
Dobbs bump deniers be like "must've been the wind"

In all seriousness, I am so darn happy. For the first time this cycle I am thinking the House could be in play.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2043 on: August 23, 2022, 10:37:20 PM »
NBC calls it for Ryan!!!
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2044 on: August 23, 2022, 10:37:30 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on August 23, 2022, 10:24:48 PM
NYT percentage in keeps ticking down. Down to 88%.

Its fairly Simple:

Rensselaer: 56/56 precincts
Columbia: 62/62 precincts
Dutchess: 120/120 precincts
Greene: 52/52 precincts
Sullivan: 68/68 precincts
Delaware: 55/55 precincts
Schoharie: Says All Precincts (does not say number)
Montgomery: 1/1? (probably like above)
Broome: 1/1 precinct
Otsego: Now 50/50 precincts

Ulster: 157/164 Precincts

Any percentages left showing on NYT/DDHQ/other sites are estimations of unprocessed early/absentees.


This is over.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2045 on: August 23, 2022, 10:37:33 PM »
I would give BOTH of my kidneys to be able to be a fly on the wall of the RNC conference room tomorrow morning.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2046 on: August 23, 2022, 10:37:55 PM »
Calling NY-19 for Ryan!!!!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #2047 on: August 23, 2022, 10:38:05 PM »
The forced birthers should have prayed harder.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2048 on: August 23, 2022, 10:38:12 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 23, 2022, 10:33:05 PM
VICTORY!!!



Holy crap yall. I really was not expecting this at the start of the day, was hoping for maybe like a 5 point loss.

I don't know what November holds, but things right now look more competitive for overall House control than I had been assuming.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2049 on: August 23, 2022, 10:38:48 PM »
Also looks like NY-23 will still end up as some type of swing from 2020.

NYT has it at 77% in with R+5.2, so I don't imagine the R will end up bigger than Trump's +11 by the end.
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