Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Will Ukraine be able to use its supply of Turkish drones well?

Doubt. Russia seem to bomb most military infrastructure? Imo, only guerrilla like warfare on all levels can spare Ukraine. Or, if Russians raise against Putin. But most normie Russians don't even know war has started yet. I was calling to my relatives in Belarus, and they didn't now sh*t. Took me like 10 minutes before they started to understand that there is bombings of Kiev. So both in Moscow and in Minsk I'd say 99% of people just go to work etc without knowing that it started.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Horrible.

https://twitter.com/christopherjm/status/1496741994609135627

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Will Ukraine be able to use its supply of Turkish drones well?

Likely depends upon where they are located...

If reports are correct and Russia has basically taken out all Ukranian Military Airports then where would the Command and Control centers be operating out of?

The Turkish drones are generally from my understanding more of anti-tank, APC, etc type hardware, so yeah if they are still operable might be able to slow down a potential Russian armored convoy from Belarus towards the Capital, but at the same time even if there are operational capabilities in various areas they would be a bit split between what is now an extremely large front against a much larger and developed military machine.

Yeah, I guess this further explains Russia destroying Ukrainian military airports.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1496742428929363970

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1496740935522451457

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

https://www.twitter.com/ralee85/status/1496744600677011459

[Storr]

Unlikely to occur, but if Georgia wanted to take back control of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, this is probably a good time to do so.

[Ferguson97]

Putin also directly addressed members of the Ukrainian armed forces, calling on them to lay down their arms and refuse to take orders from their superiors in Kyiv.

He also warned anyone considering interfering with Russia’s plans of grave consequences, appearing to threaten the use of nuclear weapons.

“Whoever tries to interfere with our actions should know that the Russian response will be immediate and will lead to the kind of consequences you have never experienced in your entire history,” Putin said. “We are ready for any scenario of events.”

Is he actually completely insane?

[T'Chenka]

Putin also directly addressed members of the Ukrainian armed forces, calling on them to lay down their arms and refuse to take orders from their superiors in Kyiv.

He also warned anyone considering interfering with Russia’s plans of grave consequences, appearing to threaten the use of nuclear weapons.

“Whoever tries to interfere with our actions should know that the Russian response will be immediate and will lead to the kind of consequences you have never experienced in your entire history,” Putin said. “We are ready for any scenario of events.”

Is he actually completely insane?

He worded it in such a way that you can tell that he doesn't really mean nuclear weapons, but he wants you to think that MAYBE just maybe he meant that, so you'll be scared and think of him as unpredictable and dangerous. It's just political theater.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/AmichaiStein1/status/1496746334409396224

[H. Ross Peron]

https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1496730671649538052

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

How well is this video from three weeks ago holding up?

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1496740935522451457

So looking further at the Tweet sounds like "Geo-Location Gurus" might have been able to actually map to location?

Would love to see this confirmed doing a comparison of geography and plus the exact coordinates if true.

Earlier this evening posted about surprised that Russian Armored Convoys weren't moving towards Kharkiv in the event of a full scale invasion, but maybe they were just softening key targets up before bringing the heavy armor across the borders.

[Storr]

https://www.twitter.com/ralee85/status/1496744600677011459

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1496745947212169217?s=20&t=-YoBZNtozWtqEB...

I agree, Russia wants a quick victory. The longer an invasion takes: the more NATO weapons/intelligence/technology flow east into Ukraine, the more civilian suffering is shared around the World, the more international opinion will turn against Russia, the more Ukrainian resistance will stiffen, the more Russian casualties will come home in coffins, the more the war will harm the Russian economy, the more likely of Russian public opinion turns against the war and current government.

You don't see governments promoting long protracted war for a reason.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1496740935522451457

So looking further at the Tweet sounds like "Geo-Location Gurus" might have been able to actually map to location?

Would love to see this confirmed doing a comparison of geography and plus the exact coordinates if true.

Earlier this evening posted about surprised that Russian Armored Convoys weren't moving towards Kharkiv in the event of a full scale invasion, but maybe they were just softening key targets up before bringing the heavy armor across the borders.

I think as far back as a week or so ago the understanding was that the first salvo would be all strategic bombing, long-range artillery, and cyberattacks, then the tanks would start rolling in once Russia had air supremacy. That indeed seems to be what's going on, although it looks like getting air supremacy was a matter of two or three hours rather than two or three days.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1496740935522451457

So looking further at the Tweet sounds like "Geo-Location Gurus" might have been able to actually map to location?

Would love to see this confirmed doing a comparison of geography and plus the exact coordinates if true.

Earlier this evening posted about surprised that Russian Armored Convoys weren't moving towards Kharkiv in the event of a full scale invasion, but maybe they were just softening key targets up before bringing the heavy armor across the borders.

I think as far back as a week or so ago the understanding was that the first salvo would be all strategic bombing, long-range artillery, and cyberattacks, then the tanks would start rolling in once Russia had air supremacy. That indeed seems to be what's going on, although it looks like getting air supremacy was a matter of two or three hours rather than two or three days.

I'm sure Russia had a lot of missiles and air force bases within range, so that has helped speed things up.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1496740935522451457

So looking further at the Tweet sounds like "Geo-Location Gurus" might have been able to actually map to location?

Would love to see this confirmed doing a comparison of geography and plus the exact coordinates if true.

Earlier this evening posted about surprised that Russian Armored Convoys weren't moving towards Kharkiv in the event of a full scale invasion, but maybe they were just softening key targets up before bringing the heavy armor across the borders.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1496750145806864386

[NOVA Green]

Wall Street Journal update headlines all within the past 15 minutes  (Sorry can't share small articles bcs of copyright, ToS issues, etc...)   

Boris Johnson Says U.K., Allies Will 'Respond Decisively' to Russian Attack on Ukraine

Russian Central Bank Announces Currency Intervention After Ruble Plunges to Record Low After Ukraine Attack

German Foreign Minister Pledges More EU Sanctions on Russia

Australia Hits Russia With New Round of Sanctions After Ukraine Operation



https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/russia-ukraine-latest-news

[Sir Mohamed]

What the heck, this is actually happening? The people of Ukraine are in my prayers. I just hope Andriy is alright. I feel really bad for him. I can't believe thousands of people are about to die for one man's ego trip and his revisionist view of history. Seriously, what the f--k?

It's time to impose the toughest possible sanctions on Russia and aid Ukraine with massive American weaponry to make this blatant violation of international law. Mr. Putin is actually a case of the Den Haag Court for War Criminals!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1496750827469426692

[T'Chenka]

What the heck, this is actually happening? The people of Ukraine are in my prayers. I just hope Andriy is alright. I feel really bad for him. I can't believe thousands of people are about to die for one man's ego trip and his revisionist view of history. Seriously, what the f--k?

It's time to impose the toughest possible sanctions on Russia and aid Ukraine with massive American weaponry to make this blatant violation of international law. Mr. Putin is actually a case of the Den Haag Court for War Criminals!

Based on how it's going so far, by the time all of the USA weapons show up in Ukraine for the Ukrainians to use against Russia, the invasion will already be over and Russia will have already won.

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1496740935522451457

So looking further at the Tweet sounds like "Geo-Location Gurus" might have been able to actually map to location?

Would love to see this confirmed doing a comparison of geography and plus the exact coordinates if true.

Earlier this evening posted about surprised that Russian Armored Convoys weren't moving towards Kharkiv in the event of a full scale invasion, but maybe they were just softening key targets up before bringing the heavy armor across the borders.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1496750145806864386

Thx!

[Storr]

Looks like the USAF is refueling somebody's planes near the Ukrainian border.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1496739864624001024?s=20&t=59g71np...

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1496751744109346821

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1496751744109346821

Lmao.