MI-PPP: Biden +4 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 03, 2024, 01:22:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  MI-PPP: Biden +4 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MI-PPP: Biden +4  (Read 3268 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: September 01, 2020, 02:33:43 PM »

Looks like it’s that time of day again! : Atlas has a meltdown over a poll that has Trump gaining a single point.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2020, 02:42:42 PM »

Looks like it’s that time of day again! : Atlas has a meltdown over a poll that has Trump gaining a single point.
It's a D internal, and even then Biden's struggling; this just strengthens the narrative that Biden is heavily underperforming in the Rust Belt.

It’s not a D internal, and if you think Trump polling at 44% is a good thing then I don’t know what to tell you.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2020, 02:45:13 PM »

Looks like it’s that time of day again! : Atlas has a meltdown over a poll that has Trump gaining a single point.
It's a D internal, and even then Biden's struggling; this just strengthens the narrative that Biden's heavily underperforming in the Rust Belt.

This election is over all but for the counting. Trump has lost and all this nonsense that Biden is struggling is just conservative delusion.
Dude, when you're leading by just 4 points in MI and FL in polls that favors you, that means it's competitive.

Sorry, if your still down by 4 after your convention bump, and can’t even lead in most swing states then the election isn’t competitive.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2020, 03:06:51 PM »

Biden cannot possibly overcome Trump's massive 10,704 victory over Clinton.

It simply CANNOT be done.
kErRy cAnNoT oVeRcOmE bUsH's mAsSiVe 537 vIcToRy oVeR gOr LOL!!!

Bush: SLAUGTHERS KERRY BY OVER 350,000+ VOTES IN FLORIDA

Bush went from narrowly losing the popular vote in 2000, to winning it by 2 in 2004. So it makes sense that he would improve in swing states. Trump won’t do anything of the sort.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2020, 03:35:28 PM »

I know some will freak out at the Big headline numbers but honestly this is not a Bad poll Biden
if anything there are Huge red flags and warning signs for trump in this poll

the biggest is the rising approval numbers for both Biden and Whitmer.
Biden approval and disapproval is now nearly equal


trump approval numbers have not improved at all after the RNC convention
and this poll actually shows an uptick in his disprovel rating

that suggest that trump many not be helped by these riots the way that some on here may have thought he would

all in all if these numbers hold trump is not winning Michigan
Hillary was winning MI by 5 right before election day according to this pollster.  I wouldn't be celebrating if I were a red avatar

Polling averages are more useful than individual polls,  Clinton was up by 3 in the averages in MI on election day, the undecideds broke heavily for Trump. Not to mention that the polling averages got her vote share completely right. Today, in 538’s MI average Biden is up by more than 6 and is polling at 49.5% of the vote. Trump isn’t winning Michigan.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #5 on: September 01, 2020, 03:40:40 PM »

I know some will freak out at the Big headline numbers but honestly this is not a Bad poll Biden
if anything there are Huge red flags and warning signs for trump in this poll

the biggest is the rising approval numbers for both Biden and Whitmer.
Biden approval and disapproval is now nearly equal


trump approval numbers have not improved at all after the RNC convention
and this poll actually shows an uptick in his disprovel rating

that suggest that trump many not be helped by these riots the way that some on here may have thought he would

all in all if these numbers hold trump is not winning Michigan
Hillary was winning MI by 5 right before election day according to this pollster.  I wouldn't be celebrating if I were a red avatar

Polling averages are more useful than individual polls,  Clinton was up by 3 in the averages in MI on election day, the undecideds broke heavily for Trump. Not to mention that the polling averages got her vote share completely right. Today, in 538’s MI average Biden is up by more than 6 and is polling at 49.5% of the vote. Trump isn’t winning Michigan.
Wrong.  Biden is up 2.6 and doing much worse than hillary was right now

In RCP, which includes Trash polls like Trafalgar, which throw the average off. 538 weights each poll to account for bias,  it’s much more accurate.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.