What's More Likely? An Independent Scotland or a Reunited Ireland? (user search)
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  What's More Likely? An Independent Scotland or a Reunited Ireland? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What's more likely to happen sooner?  Scotland voting for independence, or Northern Ireland voting to unite with the Republic of Ireland?
#1
Independent Scotland
 
#2
Reunited Ireland
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 73

Author Topic: What's More Likely? An Independent Scotland or a Reunited Ireland?  (Read 2247 times)
ObserverIE
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,840
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

« on: March 22, 2017, 10:53:07 PM »

The former by a yuge margin.

Looming Catholic majority in Northern Ireland
About half of catholics support the union. Only a quarter want reunification.

Yeah, I have seen that before, but to what extend is this conditional on the Good Friday agreement holding up, and not be demolished by the DUP?

Also, it's interesting that it seems like most Sinn Fein voters don't actually want reunification.

I would have said that it's a mixture of pragmatic support for the status quo and an underlying worry about how unionists would react to being outvoted in a referendum.

All that, however, requires the GFA to hold up, and it also requires British government policies not to actively f*** up things (i.e. through a catastrophic Brexit). It would be a mistake to view the "support" as being based on emotional attachment; it isn't.

Unionists (and the British government) need to be aware that the demographics are shifting in the long-term (last month's result should have brought this home) and that it is going to be necessary for unionism to accept a progressive "greening" of the structures. The most secure border is the least visible one; the longest-lasting British Northern Ireland is one where Irishness can be comfortably expressed, and not just in ways laid down by unionism.
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