The former by a yuge margin.
Looming Catholic majority in Northern Ireland
About half of catholics support the union. Only a quarter want reunification.
Yeah, I have seen that before, but to what extend is this conditional on the Good Friday agreement holding up, and not be demolished by the DUP?
Also, it's interesting that it seems like most Sinn Fein voters don't actually want reunification.
I would have said that it's a mixture of pragmatic support for the status quo and an underlying worry about how unionists would react to being outvoted in a referendum.
All that, however, requires the GFA to hold up, and it also requires British government policies not to actively f*** up things (i.e. through a catastrophic Brexit). It would be a mistake to view the "support" as being based on emotional attachment; it isn't.
Unionists (and the British government) need to be aware that the demographics are shifting in the long-term (last month's result
should have brought this home) and that it is going to be necessary for unionism to accept a progressive "greening" of the structures. The most secure border is the least visible one; the longest-lasting British Northern Ireland is one where Irishness can be comfortably expressed, and not just in ways laid down by unionism.