WI Senate 2018: Baldwin vs. Walker
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  WI Senate 2018: Baldwin vs. Walker		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who would have won, and what would the margin have been?
#1
Baldwin by 10 points or more.		  
#2
Baldwin by 5 to 9 points.		  
#3
Baldwin by 1 to 4 points.		  
#4
Baldwin by less than a point.		  
#5
Walker by less than a point.		  
#6
Walker by 1 to 4 points.		  
#7
Walker by 5 to 9 points.		  
#8
Walker 10 points or more.		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: WI Senate 2018: Baldwin vs. Walker  (Read 1060 times)
Jon Tester
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« on: June 11, 2020, 02:28:41 AM »
Who would have won, and what would the margin have been?
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Amanda Huggenkiss
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2020, 03:24:50 AM »
Walker lost against a challenger. In that scenario, Walker would have been the challenger against an incumbent who is more popular than him. 52-48 with a Baldwin victory would be the closest result I can imagine, 54-46 is more plausible.
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BigVic
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2020, 08:30:17 AM »
Baldwin by 5-9
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2020, 09:28:30 AM »
Given the political environment in 2018, Baldwin wins by a narrow margin.

Tammy Baldwin 50%
Scott Walker 49%

Walker probably could beat Baldwin in 2024 (or win the open Senate seat in 2022, assuming Ron Johnson follows through with retiring.)
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2020, 10:35:43 AM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 11, 2020, 09:28:30 AM
Given the political environment in 2018, Baldwin wins by a narrow margin.

Tammy Baldwin 50%
Scott Walker 49%

Walker probably could beat Baldwin in 2024 (or win the open Senate seat in 2022, assuming Ron Johnson follows through with retiring.)

Why does Baldwin do worse than Evers?
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2020, 10:44:39 AM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on June 11, 2020, 10:35:43 AM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 11, 2020, 09:28:30 AM
Given the political environment in 2018, Baldwin wins by a narrow margin.

Tammy Baldwin 50%
Scott Walker 49%

Walker probably could beat Baldwin in 2024 (or win the open Senate seat in 2022, assuming Ron Johnson follows through with retiring.)




Why does Baldwin do worse than Evers?

Walker is a stronger candidate than whoever Republicans can get to replace him in the Governor's race (unless of course, Paul Ryan runs, but that seems very unlikely)
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S019
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« Reply #6 on: June 11, 2020, 11:28:01 AM »
Baldwin by 5 to 9
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2020, 01:10:02 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 11, 2020, 10:44:39 AM
Quote from: KaiserDave on June 11, 2020, 10:35:43 AM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 11, 2020, 09:28:30 AM
Given the political environment in 2018, Baldwin wins by a narrow margin.

Tammy Baldwin 50%
Scott Walker 49%

Walker probably could beat Baldwin in 2024 (or win the open Senate seat in 2022, assuming Ron Johnson follows through with retiring.)




Why does Baldwin do worse than Evers?

Walker is a stronger candidate than whoever Republicans can get to replace him in the Governor's race (unless of course, Paul Ryan runs, but that seems very unlikely)

But Walker lost to Evers by 2, do you think Baldwin is weaker than Evers?
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Nightcore Nationalist
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« Reply #8 on: June 11, 2020, 01:11:09 PM »
Baldwin by 1-4.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #9 on: June 11, 2020, 01:11:20 PM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on June 11, 2020, 01:10:02 PM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 11, 2020, 10:44:39 AM
Quote from: KaiserDave on June 11, 2020, 10:35:43 AM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 11, 2020, 09:28:30 AM
Given the political environment in 2018, Baldwin wins by a narrow margin.

Tammy Baldwin 50%
Scott Walker 49%

Walker probably could beat Baldwin in 2024 (or win the open Senate seat in 2022, assuming Ron Johnson follows through with retiring.)




Why does Baldwin do worse than Evers?

Walker is a stronger candidate than whoever Republicans can get to replace him in the Governor's race (unless of course, Paul Ryan runs, but that seems very unlikely)

But Walker lost to Evers by 2, do you think Baldwin is weaker than Evers?

1-2 points would be about Walker's margin of defeat in both races in 2018.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #10 on: June 12, 2020, 03:29:46 AM »
Around the same result as WI Gov
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