USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread (user search)
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  USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread  (Read 26684 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,384
« Reply #25 on: October 05, 2020, 04:50:25 AM »
Probabilistic
Biden 52.2 (=)
Trump 42.7 (=)

Traditional
Biden 53.4 (+0.3)
Trump 41.7 (-0.5)
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wbrocks67
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*****
Posts: 22,384
« Reply #26 on: October 05, 2020, 08:16:21 AM »
Quote from: tagimaucia on October 05, 2020, 07:59:27 AM


1.5% between Hawkins, Jorgensen, and West in total sounds about right for the end result.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,384
« Reply #27 on: October 06, 2020, 05:07:12 AM »
Probabilistic
Biden 52.8 (+0.2)
Trump 42.3 (=)

Traditional
Biden 53.5 (+0.1)
Trump 41.7 (=)
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wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,384
« Reply #28 on: October 08, 2020, 04:57:10 AM »
Probabilistic
Biden 53.1 (+0.5)
Trump 42.1 (-0.3)

Traditional
Biden 53.7 (+0.7)
Trump 41.6 (-0.4)
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wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,384
« Reply #29 on: October 09, 2020, 05:00:42 AM »
Probabilistic
Biden 52.8 (-0.3)
Trump 42.3 (+0.2)

Traditional
Biden 53.3 (-0.4)
Trump 41.9 (+0.3)
Logged
wbrocks67
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*****
Posts: 22,384
« Reply #30 on: October 12, 2020, 05:04:10 AM »
Probabilistic
Biden 53.5 (+0.1)
Trump 41.5 (-0.1)

Traditional
Biden 54.2 (+0.2)
Trump 40.9 (-0.2)
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,384
« Reply #31 on: October 13, 2020, 04:55:09 AM »
Probabilistic
Biden 54.0 (+0.5)
Trump 41.3 (-0.2)

Traditional
Biden 54.7 (+0.5)
Trump 40.5 (-0.4)
Logged
wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,384
« Reply #32 on: October 28, 2020, 12:21:19 PM »
Quote from: tagimaucia on October 28, 2020, 12:18:16 PM
The 7-day average is actually surging right now, to a degree that I don't quite believe it + think there might be some kind of data problem again like the one they fixed a few weeks ago.  Look at my graph or compare the 14-day results today to those from 14 / 28 / 42 / etc. days ago and you'll see what I mean.

...or late undecided movement towards Biden
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,384
« Reply #33 on: November 02, 2020, 05:54:11 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 01, 2020, 06:56:43 PM
Interesting this tracker has had essentially zero movement for over a week now. Looks like everyone's made up their mind.

You mean like a month? or more? This thing has barely budged at like Biden 10-12 for forever
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