I'd still be shocked if he breaks 40%. Probably around 37% or so.
So Bill Weld is less appealing to the New York electorate than George Bush?
Well Bush wasn't running against Spitzer, plus he had a bit of a 9/11 bounce that's all but gone now (I bet if the 2004 election was held in New York now the result would be along the lines of 2000)
Spitzer is a bald and abrasive whore. He has successfully conned the media into perpetuating his name. He is not endearing in large doses.
Hey, one man's opinion though.