Electoral Map of Whites Under 30 (user search)
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  Electoral Map of Whites Under 30 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Electoral Map of Whites Under 30  (Read 3491 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,769


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: November 27, 2020, 01:29:24 PM »

The following is based on FOX News's voter analysis


Biden: 324 EV, 51% PV
Trump: 211 EV, 45% PV

Now, ABC's exit polls have young whites nationally at Trump +9, instead of FOX's Biden +6 (despite having nearly identical overall margins with young voters), so a bunch of states would flip if you did a uniform 15 point swing to Trump on that map.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,769


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2020, 04:54:33 PM »

For the points about Nebraska, the actual white 18-29 sample size wasn't large enough to give a standalone number in some small states, including Nebraska, so I had to extrapolate it based on the White 18-44 vote (Trump +6) in combination with the 30-44 vote (Trymp +15).  But it wasn't a large enough sample for them to provide the numbers.

Utah was 49-46 Trump.  Either Wyoming or Mississippi was the most pro-Trump.  Wyoming didn't have large enough sample sizes for anything but 45+ of all races, which was Trump +37.  The state as a whole was Trump +43, meaning that young voters may have been a touch to the right of the state there.  In Mississippi, whites 18-44 were 74-23 Trump, with the 30-44 at 73-24 Trump.  Based on total numbers of voters, I extrapolate the 18-29 white vote at a whopping 75-22 or 76-21 Trump.
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