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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 173299 times)
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,951
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« on: November 27, 2020, 04:08:15 PM »

Is it just me or does the new map with atlas colors look wrong
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,951
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 06, 2021, 10:40:19 AM »

Problem with this comparison is that Fighting Bob was focused on one state. One would need to add the number of votes for each candidate together state by state in a spreadsheet then put that through an apportionment calculator to get a truly fair map.

I know what I’m doing tonight
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,951
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #2 on: February 06, 2021, 05:33:09 PM »
« Edited: February 06, 2021, 05:37:47 PM by ultraviolet »

So here is Johnson vs. La Follette with apportionment based on only their number of votes combined.



Johnson only barely wins, largely because the South had a lot of EVs taken since La Follette got basically no votes there and Johnson didn't do great there either. Tipping point state is Washington, which was won by 3.26%—around 10,000 votes. Closest state was Massachusetts, La Follette won by 1.16%—just about 3,200 votes.

Interestingly, if La Follette had won WA, he'd have won the election with just 18/48 states
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,951
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2021, 09:15:00 AM »


Problem with this comparison is that Fighting Bob was focused on one state. One would need to add the number of votes for each candidate together state by state in a spreadsheet then put that through an apportionment calculator to get a truly fair map.

Not to start a war but in pretty sure LaFollette was trying to win a many states as possible. He thought he was going to win a many as 9 which wasn't too egregious considering how close he was to getting several


I’m not familiar with his campaign but even if he was targeting up to 9 states, that’s not enough to win the election. So if we change the scenario to him vs. one other person, then something should change, probably the EVs
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