Collins bucked the D wave in 2008, she can do so again
You alternate between calling Collins inevitable and saying she's DOA, it's so confusing and it's borderline trolling. Anyways, what we now know is that at the moment, this race is between Collins+1 and Gideon+9, which were the numbers we saw from the two internals and thus, it's a logical range. My guess is that both candidates are under 50, and Gideon would win if the election was tomorrow, however Collins' fate isn't as tied to the national environment as some other GOP incumbents, so she still has room for a comeback. I would not be shocked if both candidates are still under 50% by polling on Election Day. Anyways, we need a high quality poll here and not internal polls. This is probably the race where we most need a high quality, nonpartisan poll.