Thanks Dave!
MS = Safe Republican
LA = Likely Republican
KY = Lean Dem - the reason why it lies in this category is b/c I want to see who the Dem nominee is; whether Fletcher is the Rep nominee (and I now suspect he will be); and I want to see a few horse race polls so I can see how weak (or maybe not as weak) Fletcher is against the Dem. SUSA approval polls are nice for us to make comments, but they are not dispositive in horse races.
Why bother reposting exactly what you said!
Although I personally don't call anything safe this far out, it would take a miracle in Mississippi for the Democrats.
I don't see why not, even though I would like to have some polls. I do take into account the recent dysfunction in the MS Democratic party of late and the fact that the candidates running are really only classic 2nd and 3rd-tier candidates. Also, the election is not that far away (5 months).
In LA, if I wasn't taking the racism into account, I would seriously think about putting this race in safe R. While money is not everything, the fact that Jindal has almost $5 million in the bank and was clearly beating Breaux in the horse races makes me wonder whether any serious Democrat is going to step in. LA is the countervailing trend to national trends right now in many ways and that must also be taken into account.