2021 Canadian general election prediction thread (user search)
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  2021 Canadian general election prediction thread (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What do you think will happen?
#1
Liberal majority
 
#2
Liberal minority
 
#3
Conservative majority
 
#4
Conservative minority
 
#5
NDP minority
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 119

Author Topic: 2021 Canadian general election prediction thread  (Read 6711 times)
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,681
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

« on: September 14, 2021, 06:20:48 AM »

Trudeau is still ahead in preferred prime minister so I'm leaning more towards it being another Liberal minority but the range of realistic outcomes seems fairly big.
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thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,681
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2021, 09:30:37 AM »

Trudeau is still ahead in preferred prime minister so I'm leaning more towards it being another Liberal minority but the range of realistic outcomes seems fairly big.

I'll stick with this, I think the overall seat numbers won't be too different to 2019. The Liberals and the Tories will exchange a few seats here and there. I could also see a swing in either direction from that but at this point, a Liberal majority seems more likely than a Tory minority. I also think the Liberals will probably win the popular vote, but that the Tory vote will become more efficient.
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