Are we seriously going to fall for the Arizona trap again? Does anyone remember that Unbeatable Titan Strong Candidate Martha McSally was WINNING in the RCP average in 2018?
Yep. People seem to forget that Dems are underestimated in AZ, and given the Biden +2/3 average right now there, that's pretty damn good for him.
Also the fact that a strong majority of voters have already cast their ballot. Any late swings to Trump in AZ, which is dubious at best, are going to be muted by the fact that there just aren't that many more people who are going to vote who could've been persuaded.