NBC/Marist: Biden+5 in PA, tie in AZ
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 01, 2023, 10:41:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  NBC/Marist: Biden+5 in PA, tie in AZ
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Biden+5 in PA, tie in AZ  (Read 5399 times)
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2020, 01:01:59 PM »

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/final-nbc-marist-state-polls-show-close-races-pennsylvania-arizona-n1245775

Arizona

Biden 48
Trump 48

10/29-11/1, 717 LV

Pennsylvania

Biden 51
Trump 46

10/29-11/1, 772 LV
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,916


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 01:03:04 PM »

Not bad wish they weighted by education tho
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,761
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 01:03:12 PM »

Every time I get more confident about AZ, a poll like this comes out. I'm still pretty sure Biden's gonna win it, but it's probably about the same level as NC now, not significantly higher.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 01:03:17 PM »

I was told that NBC/Marist was a high-quality pollster, though.
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,145
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 01:04:17 PM »

Marist's previous AZ poll was the Biden +5 (50-45) from July? Or did they do one more recently?
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,681
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 01:04:26 PM »

Arizona seems to be really tight. PA is low Biden lead. Yikes we may not get a winner on election unless Marist is completely screwing up
Logged
I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,306
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 01:04:44 PM »

Has Arizona been tightening?
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,195
Ukraine



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 01:05:10 PM »

JUNK IT!!!
Logged
crazy jimmie
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,382


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 01:05:34 PM »


A little but it was never going to vote to the left of the nation this year.

Biden will win it and Kelly will win by a solid margin.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,528


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 01:05:39 PM »

If this is the best Marist can do, were in trouble...
Logged
Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,932
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 01:05:51 PM »

Given that Kelly's up by six points, I'm totally fine with this result
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,731


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 01:06:40 PM »

Quote
But Trump is overperforming with non-white voters in Arizona and Pennsylvania.

Doubt.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,170
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 01:06:47 PM »

AZ has a lot of retired 👮‍♀️ police officers 🚔 from all over the country.

But the students and Mexicans will bail Uncle Joe out.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,731


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 01:07:07 PM »


We just got +6 Siena/NYT on Sunday.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 01:07:14 PM »

Wow!! Im feeling really good with these!  
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 01:07:22 PM »

These polls make my stomach hurt.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,761
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 01:07:32 PM »

If this is the best Marist can do, were in trouble...

NYT/Siena has Biden up 6 in both states though.
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,429


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 01:07:54 PM »


What hasn't made your stomach hurt today?
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,387
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 01:09:00 PM »

Are we seriously going to fall for the Arizona trap again? Does anyone remember that Unbeatable Titan Strong Candidate Martha McSally was WINNING in the RCP average in 2018?Huh
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 01:10:57 PM »

Are we seriously going to fall for the Arizona trap again? Does anyone remember that Unbeatable Titan Strong Candidate Martha McSally was WINNING in the RCP average in 2018?Huh
McSally isnt a good candidate, hence why shes running well behind Trump.
Logged
MplsDem
Rookie
**
Posts: 87


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2020, 01:11:44 PM »

Marist's last PA poll was 53-44 Biden the first week of September, in case anyone was wondering.
Logged
Panda Express
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,578


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2020, 01:11:51 PM »

AZ has a lot of retired 👮‍♀️ police officers 🚔 from all over the country.

But the students👨‍🎓 and Mexicans🌮 will bail Uncle Joe😎 out.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,387
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2020, 01:12:11 PM »

Are we seriously going to fall for the Arizona trap again? Does anyone remember that Unbeatable Titan Strong Candidate Martha McSally was WINNING in the RCP average in 2018?Huh
McSally isnt a good candidate, hence why shes running well behind Trump.

That's not the point, polls in Arizona always underestimate Democrats
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,731


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2020, 01:12:26 PM »

Are we seriously going to fall for the Arizona trap again? Does anyone remember that Unbeatable Titan Strong Candidate Martha McSally was WINNING in the RCP average in 2018?Huh

Yep. People seem to forget that Dems are underestimated in AZ, and given the Biden +2/3 average right now there, that's pretty damn good for him.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,650


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2020, 01:13:35 PM »

Are we seriously going to fall for the Arizona trap again? Does anyone remember that Unbeatable Titan Strong Candidate Martha McSally was WINNING in the RCP average in 2018?Huh

Yep. People seem to forget that Dems are underestimated in AZ, and given the Biden +2/3 average right now there, that's pretty damn good for him.

Also the fact that a strong majority of voters have already cast their ballot. Any late swings to Trump in AZ, which is dubious at best, are going to be muted by the fact that there just aren't that many more people who are going to vote who could've been persuaded.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.057 seconds with 12 queries.