Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3

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From DMR's previous poll:

Trump +6
Rubio +3
Santorum +1
Paul 0
Christie 0
Kasich 0
Fiorina 0
Gilmore 0
Carson -1
Huckabee -1
Cruz -2
Bush -2

Clinton +3
Sanders +2
O'Malley -1

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Lol it's a 3 point lead Shillarys calm down.

So now you know what people look like freaking out about Overtime. Except, you know, this lot know Iowa and it's still important. But it's still IA and no one knows how this BS will turn out.

Nobody has ever freaked out about Overtime. Give me one example.

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As a reminder, DMR's final pre-Iowa poll in 2012:

Romney 24
Paul 22
Santorum 15
Gingirch 12
Perry 11
Bachmann 7
Huntsman 2

"Gold standard"

They weren't far off. They just overestimated Bachmann/Huntsman and underestimated Frothy.

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I can't find the crosstabs for the polls, however I found this in the officially released numbers:

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As such, as long as the numbers for this year match up with elections in the past, this should be pretty accurate.
http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/r1OvZ1NeDjnY

I also have a fairly significant question regarding the meaning of late Jan-16 and early Jan-16. All of the polls have that weird wording to them when they are compared to the polls conducted earlier in the campaign cycle (all of those have specific dates). I do not question that these polls were conducted over the period of the 26th to the 29th, but what does that wording even mean?

She conducted two polls in January, 2016. To differentiate them, she termed the first one "early Jan 16" and the second one "late Jan 16."

Thank you. I guess I'm more tired than I thought (1:45 AM here); I thought it was referring to January 16th 2016...

Anyway, to add something new here, they polled more than just the three people running for president of the Democratic side for favorabilities. Here's a full list:

Person — Favorable-Unfavorable (Net)

Barack Obama — 90-9 (+81)
Bill Clinton — 86-11 (+75)
Bernie Sanders — 82-12 (+70)
Joe Biden — 81-11 (+70)
Hillary Clinton — 81-17 (+64)
John Kerry — 65-18 (+47)
Elizabeth Warren — 47-7 (+40)
Martin O'Malley — 46-13 (+33)
Michael Bloomberg — 17-26 (-9)

Obama is so widely liked, I wonder if his endorsement would be able to shift voters away from Sanders.

Obama never endorsed anybody yet. I would give my personal opinion on the Obama endorsement situation, but I'd probably be ripped apart by Hillary and Bernie hacks together.