Exactly if Bidens winning Maricopa theirs a 95% chance hes winning AZ and if hes winning AZ Trump only has one viable path to 270
and this map looks very unlikely as well as Biden has solid leads in PA WI and NC GA TX and FL are looking like very hard holds for Trump and OH and IA are not guranteed for Trump either if Trump wins Maricopa hes also probably winning AZ which would help a lot but not gurantee win this is Trumps most likely victory map IMO
At This point Trumps whole reelection hinges on holding all the lean and Tilt states sweeping the tossups of NC FL and GA and picking up PA from the lean dem column and either AZ or WI this is almost impossible at this point imo