Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?) (user search)
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  Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?)  (Read 19490 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: March 05, 2016, 07:42:40 PM »

Kansas Democrats must have all gone to sleep.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2016, 09:01:38 PM »

10 minute prediction:

TV Networks project Hillary Clinton will win the state of LA tonight.

It would be the biggest political surprise of the last 100 years if they didn't.

There's no exit polls, so they might wait for some results first.

You are right, hate the lack of exit polls.

I thought they'd at least exit poll the primaries.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2016, 10:20:15 PM »

Kansas was an unexpected blow out. He never once led in a poll there, and won by 35 points.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2016, 10:22:34 PM »

Kansas was an unexpected blow out. He never once led in a poll there, and won by 35 points.

Caucuses always favor the most liberal candidate for Democrats.

I suspect Bernie would have won an Iowa primary.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2016, 10:31:02 PM »

Kansas was an unexpected blow out. He never once led in a poll there, and won by 35 points.

Oh you mean that one single poll that had Clinton 33-23 with 44% undecided?  Yeah, this was definitely a massive upset.  Roll Eyes  Who could have possibly seen this coming?

Bernie's mother didn't grow up in Kansas.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2016, 10:55:31 PM »

Hillary under 70! Cheesy

Bernie seems to have improved a bit in the South from his ST results.

No he hasnt.

^^^

69.9% is an improvement on only two Super Tuesday states: Alabama (78%) and Georgia (71%). Arkansas and Tennessee were 66%, Texas at 65% and Virginia at 64%.


What an improvement!

Plus, Sanders is only getting 24% of the vote in Louisiana. That's lower than every other southern state except for Alabama.

Louisiana has more blacks percentage wise than any other state, except Mississippi, which hasn't voted yet. So 24% isn't bad for him when you compare to the southern states that already voted.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2016, 11:28:58 PM »


They wanted to take half as long as Kansas. Tongue
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,821


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2016, 01:12:45 AM »


Well I guess that explains the huge difference in Clinton's performance between the two.

Obviously Kansas was better for Bernie than Nebraska, but we're still waiting on Lancester county to find out the margin in Nebraska.
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