CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4

[NOVA Green]

It does appear that Post-Debate and Pre-Taxgate national polls that Clinton is leading by somewhere close to 4 points in a 4-Way and 5-6 in a 2-Way.

This does NOT mean that "swing states" will move as dramatically, when one considers "Deep Blue" and "Deep Red" states like California, New York, Mass, Texas, Tennessee, etc will counterbalance a bit, but if Clinton is starting to consolidate Millennials in Atlas Red States, her national numbers will be overstated although there might only be a shift in 2-3 points in places like OH, PA, WI, etc....

Regardless, this is starting to look currently alot more like a Obama-Romney recap, with NC and IA possibly shifting places, along with OH () and possibly GA or AZ on the Dem side depending on national margins and favorable demographic changes.

[NOVA Green]

It does appear that Post-Debate and Pre-Taxgate national polls that Clinton is leading by somewhere close to 4 points in a 4-Way and 5-6 in a 2-Way.

This does NOT mean that "swing states" will move as dramatically, when one considers "Deep Blue" and "Deep Red" states like California, New York, Mass, Texas, Tennessee, etc will counterbalance a bit, but if Clinton is starting to consolidate Millennials in Atlas Red States, her national numbers will be overstated although there might only be a shift in 2-3 points in places like OH, PA, WI, etc....

Regardless, this is starting to look currently alot more like a Obama-Romney recap, with NC and IA possibly shifting places, along with OH () and possibly GA or AZ on the Dem side depending on national margins and favorable demographic changes.

For a good article on Ohio, check out the new Crystal Ball article "Why Trump Will Do Better in Ohio Than He Does Nationally". (http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/)

Thanks Georgia Moderate for posting this link!!!

A fascinating read and highly recommended for others on the forum.

OT: I did live in OH for four years back in my college days in the early '90s, and well understand some of the complexities and demographics of the state. It will be interesting to see how the state breaks on election day.... I could well see it swinging dramatically either way from polling over the past few months.