Hot take: It's not all that unlikely for AZ to vote left of NV

[MT Treasurer]

I agree that it’s not guaranteed to happen, but I have a suspicion that the unbearably overconfident "Titanium Lean D Nevada" takes are going to age about as well as the "Titanium Lean R Georgia" predictions before 2020 or the "Titanium Lean D Pennsylvania" obsession before 2016. It’s downright comical to act like the state wouldn’t even be a Tossup in a favorable year for the GOP.

Yes, it will mostly require gains with non-college-educated, unionized/working-class, and non-white voters in Clark County, but anyone who thinks that urban counties can’t possibly swing R with the right cultural message hasn’t been paying attention or is deliberately dismissing even the possibility of this happening. Unlike in AZ, there are very few suburban countertrends to save Democrats here if they lose ground with the aforementioned groups.