FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44 (user search)
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  FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44  (Read 2299 times)
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« on: August 04, 2008, 06:46:33 PM »

SUSA? Not sure about that one.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2008, 06:53:16 PM »

Florida is trending away from Obama. Obviously Obamas whirlwind tour of St. Pete, Plant City (Christ I feel dirty to have him going to the same vegetable stand I frequent) and Lakeland (luckily that day I didn't have to go down the road because he went down one I drive daily) didn't boost his number.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2008, 06:57:53 PM »

No way McCain does better among women than men.

Also, I don't think McCain can win by six if he's losing among Hispanics by six.  The race numbers must be off.

     The race numbers are off. If you'll notice, the sample is only 11% Black.

Even the addition of more blacks wouldn't help Baracks numbers significantly IMHO.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2008, 06:59:51 PM »

The first indication that McCain must be up in the state is when McCain doesn't even bother to spend a penny to answer $5,000,000 worth of Obama ads over the last 7 wks.

No campaign would fail to answer an opponent's ad blitze if they wern't sitting pretty decent in their internal polling.

If McCain isn't spending money who here is running McCain ads?
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #4 on: August 04, 2008, 07:01:00 PM »

The first indication that McCain must be up in the state is when McCain doesn't even bother to spend a penny to answer $5,000,000 worth of Obama ads over the last 7 wks.

No campaign would fail to answer an opponent's ad blitze if they wern't sitting pretty decent in their internal polling.

If McCain isn't spending money who here is running McCain ads?

Might be nationally televised ads on channels like CNN and Fox News.

No, I've seen them on our local stations.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #5 on: August 04, 2008, 07:33:46 PM »

Campaigns don't release their internal polling.  However, one can get a glimpse as to what those polls are saying by looking at the $$ spent by each campaign.  Obama has spent over 5 million in campaign ads alone in Florida since the beginning of June thru July 27th.  McCain has spent ZERO.

That should tell you all you need to know.

Maybe the RNC is running some ads.
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??????????
StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #6 on: August 04, 2008, 09:15:37 PM »

Both should be reasonably close but both candidates should hold serve.  The fact that McCain isn't spending at all in Florida indicates that, as of now at least, the campaign thinks it is going to do well there.

Then why is he running some ads here and he visited Orlando?
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