March 19th Official Primary Thread (AZ, FL, IL, KS, OH)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Sizeable anti-Trump vote in Maricopa.

That's true but this is the early vote and consists of a significant amount of the McCainites who still vote in R primaries. The election day vote will lean heavily towards Trump.

The excuses are going to have to run out eventually.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I'd have expected him to do better than 76% in arizona.. 20% sizeable Haley vote.

[ajc0918]

Haley got 24% and 22% in Pima and Maricopa, AZ, respectively.

There will be substantial defections from Trump in November.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Haley got 24% and 22% in Pima and Maricopa, AZ, respectively.

There will be substantial defections from Trump in November.

Those are "McCain Republicans." They're not "real" Republicans!

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I'd have expected him to do better than 76% in arizona.. 20% sizeable Haley vote.

Seems they revised how much was left to count back down to 78%.

[ajc0918]

Haley got 24% and 22% in Pima and Maricopa, AZ, respectively.

There will be substantial defections from Trump in November.

Those are "McCain Republicans." They're not "real" Reublicans!

As Meghan McCain would say, "No peace, b*tch." [Source]

[The Mikado]

I'd have expected him to do better than 76% in arizona.. 20% sizeable Haley vote.

Seems they revised how much was left to count back down to 78%.

Did both of their vote counts (Trump and Biden) also go way down?

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I'd have expected him to do better than 76% in arizona.. 20% sizeable Haley vote.

Seems they revised how much was left to count back down to 78%.

Did both of their vote counts (Trump and Biden) also go way down?

Yes.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

NYT keeps removing counties and lowering the percentage counted lol.

[ajc0918]

NYT keeps removing counties and lowering the percentage counted lol.

Mules seen removing ballots.

[Gass3268]

Native Americans continue to not be Biden fans.

Very interesting, yet he also seems to be doing well in the super Hispanic areas.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Zero election day vote has been counted yet so this should take a while.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Native Americans continue to not be Biden fans.

They were quite strong for Biden in Minnesota.

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Moreno is really crushing it after his Trump endorsement ...

He's outperforming all polls by 20 points.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Zero election day vote has been counted yet so this should take a while.

Small batch.

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1770302398713766377?t=3hLKDTKNi_ywDDsn...

[xavier110]

Zero election day vote has been counted yet so this should take a while.

Small batch.

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1770302398713766377?t=3hLKDTKNi_ywDDsn...

The AZ SOS has a way to view by voting type. Trump is currently winning something like 95% of the polling place vote with a little over 3k reported. There’s just not going to be a lot of EDay vote. The Assad margins may ultimately get him just over 80% though.

[Sir Mohamed]

If the primaries show one thing, then it's Trump who has a bigger problem within his party than Biden. Still, I wouldn't use results to predict the GE, just I wouldn't take polls at face value.

[Ferguson97]

With 80% reporting in Arizona, Trump is at 78% and Biden is at 90%.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Native Americans continue to not be Biden fans.

Genocide Joe reminds them of George Custer. /s

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, I'm sorry, there is something clearly off between election results and polls. Polls even outside of the Trump margins are estimating that Trump has no issue with Republican defections pretty much, and nearly every election result is making it clear that Trump is having some issues with coalescing the Republican vote.

His Kansas result may be the worst of all, but Arizona is pretty bad too.

[The Free North]

https://twitter.com/FrankCalabrese/status/1770443080006529115

[2016]

Florida Governor DeSantis has been asked if we would campaign with Trump in the Fall and here is his answer:

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1770464485171425303

[Eraserhead]

Florida Governor DeSantis has been asked if we would campaign with Trump in the Fall and here is his answer:

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1770464485171425303

Technically true but can almost guarantee that Trump will stop there to campaign a few times anyway. It's a must-win for him. Guess Meatball Ron won't be joining him.

[wbrocks67]

Illinois: Biden 91.3%, Trump 80.7%
Ohio: Biden 87.1%, Trump 79.2%
Florida: Trump 81.2%
Arizona: Biden 89.5%, Trump 77.5%
Kansas: Biden 83.8%, Trump 75.5%

Who is the one failing to coalesce the base at this point?

Not only is Trump consistently still losing ~20% of the primary, he's still doing worse than he did in 2020 - when he was the incumbent. He got less votes in FL this year (and there were less votes overall in the contest, too). Feels like this is a continued underrepresented situation that the press doesn't want to talk about - they continue to parrot polls that say 97% of Trump 2020 voters are on board or that the entire Republican base is on board, when it's clear - even in *closed primaries* that Trump is getting a substantial protest vote - and a bigger one than Biden.

Biden got ripped for getting 81% in Michigan and 100,000 people voting against him. That happened to Trump in Ohio, Illinois, Arizona and Florida last night - with candidates that have dropped out! And you don't hear a peep about it!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Illinois: Biden 91.3%, Trump 80.7%
Ohio: Biden 87.1%, Trump 79.2%
Florida: Trump 81.2%
Arizona: Biden 89.5%, Trump 77.5%
Kansas: Biden 83.8%, Trump 75.5%

Who is the one failing to coalesce the base at this point?

Not only is Trump consistently still losing ~20% of the primary, he's still doing worse than he did in 2020 - when he was the incumbent. He got less votes in FL this year (and there were less votes overall in the contest, too). Feels like this is a continued underrepresented situation that the press doesn't want to talk about - they continue to parrot polls that say 97% of Trump 2020 voters are on board or that the entire Republican base is on board, when it's clear - even in *closed primaries* that Trump is getting a substantial protest vote - and a bigger one than Biden.

Biden got ripped for getting 81% in Michigan and 100,000 people voting against him. That happened to Trump in Ohio, Illinois, Arizona and Florida last night - with candidates that have dropped out! And you don't hear a peep about it!

Ohio is the most surprising of those to me. He easily should have cleared 80%.