ABC-Washngton Post: TRUMP's favorables tank hard (user search)
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  ABC-Washngton Post: TRUMP's favorables tank hard (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC-Washngton Post: TRUMP's favorables tank hard  (Read 2501 times)
dspNY
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Posts: 2,960
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« on: June 15, 2016, 01:42:53 PM »
Quote from: Redban on June 15, 2016, 01:36:03 PM
Historically, have these un-favorable ratings correlated with actual votes? "Unfavorability" seems general and vague.

Reasonably, voters might dislike a candidate personally yet still feel comfortable voting for him or her, as likability does not directly relate to person's ability to perform the job.

Yes they correlate pretty closely with actual votes, usually within 5% of the candidate's overall vote share unless a President is hugely popular (like FDR or Ike) or we have a black swan event
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dspNY
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Posts: 2,960
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2016, 01:50:50 PM »
Trump's 89% disapproval among Hispanics means that Texas is definitely in single digits and possibly in play this fall for the Dems
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