North Carolina 2020 Redistricting (user search)
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  North Carolina 2020 Redistricting (search mode)
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Author Topic: North Carolina 2020 Redistricting  (Read 88466 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #25 on: November 16, 2020, 12:42:45 PM »

CJ Beasley is now likely to lose.  The late absentees and provisionals were surprisingly R, as they have been in other states.  So the court will be 4D/3R when it reviews the maps.  This leaves a couple of different scenarios:

1. Is one of the remaining D's known as a don't-rock-the-boat moderate?  Did any Dems dissent from or more narrowly concur in the decision throwing out the 2010's maps?  It only takes one crossover vote to defer to the legislature now. 

2.  If they are all committed liberals, they could go for broke in trying to set up the most Dem possible maps for 2022 knowing that they will almost surely lose their 1-seat majority in a Biden midterm anyway?

As of this morning Beasley is still ahead by 35 votes, but Robeson still has some provisionals.




Oh dear god, not Robeson again.

looks like Newby is up 230 now on the NCSBOE website.

Yeah there was an error in Washington county where they doubled the votes for both for absentee votes IIRC  which gave Beasley 250 more votes.

So this doesn't even include Robeson provisionals yet?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #26 on: November 16, 2020, 06:19:31 PM »

What's the restrictions on mid decade redistricting if any?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #27 on: November 17, 2020, 05:41:03 PM »

What's the restrictions on mid decade redistricting if any?

Tbh not sure, if they draw a 10-4 in the beginning maybe they won't take the move of mid decade redistricting for 1 congressional seat that slightly weakens others. If there aren't any restrictions but the D court imposes some 6D map or something I would expect them to do it.

A mid decade redraw would be illegal for the state legislative maps unless court-ordered, but there are no restrictions for redrawing the congressional map mid decade.

Is there a window as to where maps for Congress can be drawn without being subject to veto?  After a certain date, would the maps be subject to veto?

There is no veto on maps period because until the 1980's/early 1990s, there was no veto at all in NC for the Governor. This was because after the 1890s, it was seen as plausible for Republicans to get the Governorship, but highly unlikely to ever flip the legislature.

In the 1980s, Reagan had carried a Republican into the Governorship and though they decided to create the veto power for the first time under this state's constitution, it did not apply to redistricting maps at all.

That is partially why NC Republicans felt so embolden to strip power from the Governor as this state has a long tradition of legislative supremacy and a weak Governor.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #28 on: November 17, 2020, 06:56:44 PM »


Its not bad, though the 8th being stretched out so long and paralleling the 7th gives me the current 7th/8th/9th vibes.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #29 on: November 18, 2020, 07:59:38 PM »

I discovered last night you can make the brush strokes bigger in DRA, where has this been all my 2010s.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2021, 12:02:26 PM »

At least the Johnston based seat is compact and the Mountains are decent. They also did a east-west renumbering, which is nice.

But good god, Charlotte and central NC.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #31 on: November 04, 2021, 11:34:20 PM »

Wait people are trying to compartmentalize Democratic gerrymandering as "they were run by White Conservatives" then?

You have got to be kidding me!

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #32 on: November 04, 2021, 11:37:23 PM »

Trying to figure out the renumbering and where each congressperson will run:

NC-1: old NC-3 Murphy
NC-2: old NC-1 Butterfield
NC-3: old NC-7 Rouzer
NC-5: old NC-2 Ross
NC-6: old NC-4 Price's replacement
NC-9: old NC-12 Adams
NC-13: new district NC House speaker Tim Moore will run
NC-14: old NC-11 Cawthorn

any guesses on the others?

Rouzer is based in Johnston county, so more than likely he runs in the new 4th, leaving the new 3rd open.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #33 on: November 06, 2021, 12:10:31 AM »

The main road I live just off of is in the 4th, but my home is in the 2nd.
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