New PA Maps In Effect
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  New PA Maps In Effect
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Author Topic: New PA Maps In Effect  (Read 87539 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #650 on: February 19, 2018, 02:57:13 PM »

The big question here is the new 10th/11th. He competitive do we thing it is - heading to DRA now!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #651 on: February 19, 2018, 02:57:27 PM »

Now why didn't a Democratic Supreme Court draw a Democratic-favored map here? What a wasted opportunity.

This is a Democratic favored map.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #652 on: February 19, 2018, 02:58:08 PM »

Fitzpatrick will most likely be the only R of the 8 eastern-most districts come November.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #653 on: February 19, 2018, 02:59:27 PM »

Now why didn't a Democratic Supreme Court draw a Democratic-favored map here? What a wasted opportunity.

This is a Democratic favored map.

It's hardly a Democratic-favored map when there are still more Republicans than Democrats. They should have gone North Carolina-type extreme in removing Republicans from Congress. Now I wonder when they're going to strike down and redraw the state legislative maps. That is just as important as redoing the Congressional map.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #654 on: February 19, 2018, 03:01:19 PM »
« Edited: February 19, 2018, 03:03:59 PM by Solid4096 »

Old Number New Number Cycle
01         02         a
02         03         a
03         16         a
04         10         a
05         15         b
06         06         c
07         05         b
08         01         a
09         13         a
10         12         a
11         09         a
12         17         a
13         04         a
14         18         d
15         07         b
16         11         a
17         08         a
18         14         d
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Sestak
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« Reply #655 on: February 19, 2018, 03:01:36 PM »

8D? Perfect. D+3.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #656 on: February 19, 2018, 03:02:35 PM »

I wonder if Holden could win PA-9, it seems like it has quite a bit of his old territory.
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hofoid
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« Reply #657 on: February 19, 2018, 03:04:12 PM »

Hot takes:
*MontCo looks amazing. It was hard for me to avoid cutting into it when trying to form a compact map.
*Does anybody have any clue if Fitzpatrick's district's PVI changed?
*Smucker must become rather safe now as his district because a SEPA GOP vote sink. Lucky guy.
*The lines look clean throughout, but Barletta's seat looks really ugly and kind of a mishmash, community-of-interest-wise.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #658 on: February 19, 2018, 03:07:50 PM »

Now why didn't a Democratic Supreme Court draw a Democratic-favored map here? What a wasted opportunity.

How about, they were trying to draw a fairer map that's more in the interest of the people of the state as a whole?  You know, what courts are supposed to do?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #659 on: February 19, 2018, 03:09:27 PM »


This tweet says that the GOP will challenge the map.  How, exactly?
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hofoid
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« Reply #660 on: February 19, 2018, 03:10:35 PM »

I wonder if Holden could win PA-9, it seems like it has quite a bit of his old territory.
It's looking dicey, though. It doesn't have Dauphin , and it has the Trumpiest parts of Luzerne and Carbon added to it.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #661 on: February 19, 2018, 03:11:02 PM »


They'll sue again in court and try to delay the implementation of this map. Won't go anywhere, if Alito wasn't going to step in before, he won't now.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #662 on: February 19, 2018, 03:11:12 PM »


There were planning to try and take the entire process to federal court before the map was even revealed - all part of their constant harebrained schemes that have transpired throughout this process.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #663 on: February 19, 2018, 03:11:14 PM »

Now why didn't a Democratic Supreme Court draw a Democratic-favored map here? What a wasted opportunity.

How about, they were trying to draw a fairer map that's more in the interest of the people of the state as a whole?  You know, what courts are supposed to do?

But...but...but Cynic told me all anyone cares about is maximizing partisan advantage in redistricting regardless of who they had to screw over in order to do so.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #664 on: February 19, 2018, 03:11:53 PM »

Even though I don’t agree with the map, it looks a lot better than the other map visually. I hope this can be the last gerrymandered cycle ever!
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #665 on: February 19, 2018, 03:13:54 PM »

What are the leans of these districts?
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #666 on: February 19, 2018, 03:14:13 PM »

I wonder if Holden could win PA-9, it seems like it has quite a bit of his old territory.
It's looking dicey, though. It doesn't have Dauphin , and it has the Trumpiest parts of Luzerne and Carbon added to it.

Didn’t Holden also used to represent Northern Berks?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #667 on: February 19, 2018, 03:14:17 PM »

Philadelphia still gets three seats essentially. Boyle will get to run in PA-02.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #668 on: February 19, 2018, 03:16:32 PM »

I attempted to calculate the PVI of Matthew Cartwrights new District. Seems like an R+0.94, which is close to where his old District was.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #669 on: February 19, 2018, 03:19:15 PM »

I must say that those are some very aesthetically pleasing congressional districts. Gerrymandering is one of our country's major problems in politics and it's good to see people fight against it.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #670 on: February 19, 2018, 03:19:45 PM »

I attempted to calculate the PVI of Matthew Cartwrights new District. Seems like an R+0.94, which is close to where his old District was.

Yeah, Nate Cohn has it going from 53.4-43.3 Trump to 53.2-43.7. Basically the same, though it will be new territory for Cartwright, which probably makes him a little more vulnerable.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #671 on: February 19, 2018, 03:20:08 PM »

Philadelphia still gets three seats essentially. Boyle will get to run in PA-02.

Delco has 560,000 people - that's like 3/4 of a district.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #672 on: February 19, 2018, 03:21:18 PM »

Trump v. Hillary numbers for each district, via Nate Cohn:



8-10 split.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #673 on: February 19, 2018, 03:21:24 PM »

The new map cuts 13 counties.

8-10 C-T. Many competitive seats.
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Horus
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« Reply #674 on: February 19, 2018, 03:22:45 PM »

I'm most interested to see who wins the new 17th. It's a narrow Trump district but ancestrally Dem.
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