Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Adam Griffin]

[Adam Griffin]

65% White
30% Black
2% Latino

[Adam Griffin]

CNN Exit poll says that the electorate is 65% White, 30% Black.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/AL/president/


was 68/28 in 2012, those numbers would had pushed Bob Vance pretty close.

That's so weird...I don't remember AL having exit polls in 2012...?

[Adam Griffin]

Just in- 82% of Evangelicals believe accusations against Moore are false.

MSNBC says 72%.

How many DNK OR BELIEVE

... What?

Do Not Know/Do Not Believe Allegations Are False, presumably

[Adam Griffin]

538's live blog is up: http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/

JFC who thought it'd be a good idea to add a live FB feed to that blog?!

[Adam Griffin]

Jones: 98% of Democrats
Moore: 91% of Republicans

Exit polling data by race in second round still holding at 65/30

Note: Romney won 99% of "moderate Republicans"

[Adam Griffin]

Remember guys, here's a spreadsheet with the NYT effective benchmarks (raw vote margins) for each county in a tied scenario, so keep an eye out on this as the night unfolds and as counties report (of course, if turnout is substantially higher or lower than NYT estimated, it'll be much less useful)

NYT Tied Race Benchmarks by County (Raw Vote Margins)

[Adam Griffin]

25 precincts in Birmingham dumped.

[Adam Griffin]

I'm glad to be wrong, and I'll be happy to eat SWEET POTATO PIE N A-SHUT MUH MOUTH