49-state sweep. Holdout? (user search)
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  49-state sweep. Holdout? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Between now and 2040 someone wins in a 49-state landslide. Which state is the lone holdout?
#1
California		  
#2
New York		  
#3
Utah		  
#4
Vermont		  
#5
West Virginia		  
#6
other		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: 49-state sweep. Holdout?  (Read 4824 times)
P123
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 326


Political Matrix
E: 3.64, S: 3.20
« on: March 21, 2016, 05:20:08 AM »
Democrats=California (minorities + bay area liberal whites make it almost impossible to flip) and Vermont. Either one of these two.
Republicans=Oklahoma and West Virginia.

Hawaii would be more likely to flip versus California or Vermont, just look at 2004 (I know it was a re-election year, but still).

Large chance Utah flips this year or votes third if/when Trump is the nominee.
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P123
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 326


Political Matrix
E: 3.64, S: 3.20
« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2016, 05:34:21 AM »
Quote from: Justice TJ on March 20, 2016, 01:13:23 PM
I'd voted Utah but seeing as how this election is playing out, West Virginia is a distinct possibility this year.

I would agree with this. Personally I would go with Oklahoma though. Alabama/Arkansas/Tennessee are possibilities aswell. If Trumps the nominee large chance Utah votes Democrat, and if theirs a third party challenge then they would vote for that challenge.
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