Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/1205089426881351681?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

The Economist polled support for Impeachment by state:

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/12/14/a-plurality-of-americans-but-not-of-states-want-donald-trump-impeached

Since impeachment is a bigger hammer than voting against the incumbent, I think it's reasonable to assume that voting intention against Trump is at least as high as impeachment support.  In that case, these numbers don't bode well for Trump:

51% support for impeachment: CO, FL, ME, MI, NV, PA, VA

49%: AZ, MN, TX, WI

48%: GA, LA(!?), NC

47%: IA

46%: NH, OH

In a normal world this might be true, but we live on Planet Trump now.

Anyway some of these numbers don’t make any sense

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/WisVoter/status/1206989150253174784?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/WisVoter/status/1206989150253174784?s=20

In the 2020 Presidential election, whoever wins WI-03 will take the White House.

I tend to agree with you, but we can imagine a scenario where Trump is reelected despite losing this district if at the same time he gets Scott Walker numbers in the rest of the state. The map would look in a such scenario a bit like the Supreme Court race from earlier this year.

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1207650045836845056

Approval : 45/51
Impeachment : 48% against / 49% for

[Frenchrepublican]

Morning Consult/Politico, Jan. 29-30, 1992 RV (5-day change)

Approve 43 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 24 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-2)

Approve of impeachment: Yes 50, No 43

Remove Trump: Yes 50, No 43

Compare this was the NBC/WSJ poll out today that has his strongly approve at 36%. Polls are a bit all over the place recently.

Even though NBC/WSJ has generally been one of Trump's better polls, that strongly approve number seems unusually high.  Their last 5 polls:

Current: 46/51 (strongly 36/44)
Dec: 44/54 (strongly 33/44)
Late Oct: 45/53 (strongly 31/45)
Early Oct: 43/53 (strongly 29/46)
Sep: 45/53 (strongly 33/46)

Source for the current poll: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6750229-200053-NBCWSJ-January-Poll.html

You clearly have over the past two months a small polling improvement for Trump

[Frenchrepublican]

The Gallup poll is probably a bit skewed toward republicans but you have to be blind or to be a big hack to deny that Trump has improved his situation over the past few months

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1226932714839904256