Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

I just kind of felt like reaffirming my point that Holiday bumps are a real thing. If Trump is currently in one is a matter of debate, but Obama got one every year between Thanksgiving and New Years.

Yup. The 538 approval comparison shows that Bush got a pretty big bump at this exact time as well.

[Matty]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Dec. 14-17, 1500 adults including 1164 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+1)

Impeach Trump? Yes 47 (+2), No 39 (-1)

Remove Trump? Yes 47 (+3), No 38 (-2)


RV:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Impeach Trump? Yes 50 (+2), No 43 (-1)

Remove Trump? Yes 50 (+3), No 42 (-1)

2020 (RV only): Generic D 49 (+2), Trump 40 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (nc), R 40 (nc)

So much for the big, bright Trump bump balloon that was bobbing along the American skyline in recent days.

Lol you are cherry picking one poll

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

I just kind of felt like reaffirming my point that Holiday bumps are a real thing. If Trump is currently in one is a matter of debate, but Obama got one every year between Thanksgiving and New Years.

Yup. The 538 approval comparison shows that Bush got a pretty big bump at this exact time as well.

All that aside, his approval should be well north of 45% just based on this:

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

I just kind of felt like reaffirming my point that Holiday bumps are a real thing. If Trump is currently in one is a matter of debate, but Obama got one every year between Thanksgiving and New Years.

Yup. The 538 approval comparison shows that Bush got a pretty big bump at this exact time as well.

All that aside, his approval should be well north of 45% just based on this:

I’m not sure many Americans are paying attention to the S&P especially with impeachment...

[Bandit3 the Worker]

To be frank, I think most people don't give a flying fez about the stock market.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

I just kind of felt like reaffirming my point that Holiday bumps are a real thing. If Trump is currently in one is a matter of debate, but Obama got one every year between Thanksgiving and New Years.

Yup. The 538 approval comparison shows that Bush got a pretty big bump at this exact time as well.

All that aside, his approval should be well north of 45% just based on this:

I’m not sure many Americans are paying attention to the S&P especially with impeachment...

Perhaps not, but they are paying attention to their retirement accounts. When you're suddenly $10k, $20k, $30k richer on paper, your outlook on life changes.

[Tender Branson]

Is it just my PC, or is the historical chart not working ?

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

[GeorgiaModerate]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

How many more quality polls showing Trump within the MoE do we need before we can declare Iowa a tossup, or at least lean R?

[Brittain33]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

Will the Dem nominee repel enough people to turn that 47 into 50+?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

How many more quality polls showing Trump within the MoE do we need before we can declare Iowa a tossup, or at least lean R?

Since when has Atlas ever had it at anything other than a Tossup/Tilt/Lean R?

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1207420973722542081?s=20

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Emerson, Dec. 15-17, 1222 RV (1-month change)

Approve 46 (-2)
Disapprove 49 (+2)

Impeach Trump?  Yes 45 (+2), No 45 (nc)

Biden 52 (+3), Trump 48 (-3)
Sanders 52 (+2), Trump 48 (-1)
Warren 51 (+1), Trump 49 (-1)
Buttigieg 50 (+2), Trump 40 (-2)

Gallup 12/2-15

Approve: 45 (+2)
Disapprove: 51 (-3)

Impeach: 46 (-2)
Don't Impeach: 51 (+1)

https://news.gallup.com/poll/271691/trump-approval-inches-support-impeachment-dips.aspx

Florida: Mason-Dixon, Dec. 11-16, 625 RV

Approve 47
Disapprove 50

Impeach Trump: Support 46, Oppose 50

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Dec. 16-17, 1117 adults including 963 RV

RV:

Approve 45 (+4)
Disapprove 53 (-3)

Strongly approve 28 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

Impeach Trump: Yes 47 (nc), No 45 (+3)

Wow.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

Will the Dem nominee repel enough people to turn that 47 into 50+?

You don't need 50+ to win with FPTP. There will be at least 1% or so third party vote (or who knows, possibly more).

[pbrower2a]

  

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

How many more quality polls showing Trump within the MoE do we need before we can declare Iowa a tossup, or at least lean R?

Since when has Atlas ever had it at anything other than a Tossup/Tilt/Lean R?

Trump approval:

40% or less or disapproval over 52%
41-44% or disapproval over  or over 50%
45-49% and negative

tie (white)

45-49% and positive
50-54%
55% or higher

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

How many more quality polls showing Trump within the MoE do we need before we can declare Iowa a tossup, or at least lean R?

Since when has Atlas ever had it at anything other than a Tossup/Tilt/Lean R?

For the past three years half of Atlas (especially blue avatars) have had Iowa as safe R because muh trends.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

How many more quality polls showing Trump within the MoE do we need before we can declare Iowa a tossup, or at least lean R?

Since when has Atlas ever had it at anything other than a Tossup/Tilt/Lean R?

For the past three years half of Atlas (especially blue avatars) have had Iowa as safe R because muh trends.

Agreed, IA is definitely not Safe R. TX having a higher Trump approval rating than IA makes me happy tbh (mainly as a screw you to the people who unironically think Colin County might vote D in 2020 lol).

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1207650045836845056

Approval : 45/51
Impeachment : 48% against / 49% for

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1207650045836845056

Approval : 45/51
Impeachment : 48% against / 49% for

Lines up pretty well with the numbers everywhere else: a pretty equal share of voters either love impeachment or hate it. 

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1207650045836845056

Approval : 45/51
Impeachment : 48% against / 49% for

Lines up pretty well with the numbers everywhere else: a pretty equal share of voters either love impeachment or hate it. 

Those numbers are believable as floors and ceilings for Trump. He will probably lose 5-6% of global support worse case or gain 2-3% support best case between 2016 and 2020.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1207650045836845056

Approval : 45/51
Impeachment : 48% against / 49% for

Yeah, not buying his approval is only -6 in Virginia

[Inmate Trump]

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1207650045836845056

Approval : 45/51
Impeachment : 48% against / 49% for

Yeah, not buying his approval is only -6 in Virginia

Probably not the case, but it's good to be cautious.

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP/NORC, Dec. 5-9, 1015 adults (change from late Oct.)

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+4)

Strongly approve 23 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+3)

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

RCP: “Trump Approval Hits 3 Month High” in their aggregator.

Meaning, Trump is right back to pre-Impeachment polling.

Let me enjoy this moment: HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

[Gass3268]

AP/NORC, Dec. 5-9, 1015 adults (change from late Oct.)

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+4)

Strongly approve 23 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+3)

Wow, Trump is collapsing before our eyes!