New Jersey legislative elections megathread

[Brittain33]

WTF happened here? Why did nobody go out?

It may just be that NJ Dems hit their high water mark with a big trifecta and Republicans are starting to fight back.

[Brittain33]

Going from a 56-24 to 48-32 majority is insane. NJ Dems need to get their ish together.

Wait a minute. What are the 4 districts where Dems lost 8 seats? I thought they only lost 4 seats in AD-1 and AD-2 and failed to advance in others.

[Brittain33]

Somerset County is blue almost single-handedly because of Franklin Township. Without it Obama would’ve lost it twice (although Hillary still would’ve narrowly carried it). Morris lacks a community that could make it blue the same way.

Somerset is becoming more demographically diverse, especially in the South near Princeton. Those towns also have high academic attainment. It’s not just Franklin.

[Brittain33]

So did the Republicans win in AD2 or not?

[Brittain33]

There must be some share of voters in AD 21 who voted Democratic federally because they were reamed by the SALT deduction cap but by the same token are going to vote for state Republicans to keep taxes down.